FNUS74 KLIX 272309 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 609 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1014MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER WRN ALTANTIC NEAR FL PENINSULA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-W ACROSS NORTHERN GULF COAST. LOW CENTERED NORTH OF MINNESOTA WITH COLD FRONT STRETCHING SSW THROUGH WI...CNTRL IL AND INTO CNTRL MO AND CNTRL OK. TD ALEX WAS CENTERED NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH CNTRL PRES 999MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1012MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...102F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...MISG GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...105F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 99F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 105F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... MISG GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...103F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 9KT 250FT... SE 10KT 500FT... SE 10KT 1KFT.. SE 11KT 2KFT... SE 11KT 3KFT... SE 13KT 4KFT... SE 15KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...236/48KT 41.6KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1800FT...NEARLY ISOTHERMAL 1800FT TO 3300 FT...DRY LAPSE RATE TO 4200 FT...THEN APPX MOIST LAPSE ABV. STORM MOTION 157/9KT. 27/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/28/10 SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 16KT 500FT...ESE 17KT 1KFT...ESE 17KT 2KFT...ESE 19KT 3KFT...ESE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 14KT MAX WIND...269/67KT 67KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. STM MOTION 140/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 272251Z AUTO 12009KT 10SM BKN031 BKN041 32/25 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP114 T03170250 TSNO METAR KGAO 272240Z AUTO 12010G15KT SCT026 SCT037 SCT048 33/25 A2987 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 272251Z 17006KT 10SM SCT030 30/24 A2984 METAR KIPN 272255Z AUTO 11008KT 10SM FEW020 FEW042 BKN055 52/48 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 272255Z AUTO 14014KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 272255Z AUTO 12011G19KT 10SM 32/26 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 272255Z AUTO 14008KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 272255Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 32/26 A2985 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030-040. 21Z-01Z...ISOLD 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030. 21Z-02Z...ISOLD/SCT 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. KHUM 271720Z 2718/2818 13008KT P6SM VCSH SCT035CB FM272100 13008KT P6SM SCT040CB FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 09008KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB KHSA 271720Z 2718/2818 15006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB FM272200 15006KT P6SM FEW040 FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 13009KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1755 CDT...ISOLD TO SCT SHRA AND TSRA LOCATED ACROSS NRN GOMEX. SCT SHRA AND TSRA WERE LOCATED S AND SW OF THE SPILL SITE. STORM MOTION WAS N AROUND 14KT. CLOSEST LGTNG WAS LOCATED ABOUT 50 NM S OF SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.10 FT AT 1706 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.50 FT AT 2100 CDT. WYCM6 1.89 FT AT 1700 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.44 FT AT 0000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 90F AT 1600 CDT. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........74 74 74 74 74 74 74 63 63 63 63 63 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 85 86 86 86 85 85 85 RH..............77 80 80 80 80 80 77 75 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 96 94 94 94 96 97 97 97 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 15 15 15 17 17 17 17 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 87 87 87 69 69 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 86 87 86 85 85 RH..............77 75 72 72 75 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 97 99 96 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 14 SE 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 3400 3400 3900 4200 MIX HGT (M).....850 850 1040 1040 1190 1280 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 15 SE 18 SE 18 SE 23 E 29 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10 E 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH RO .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 80 80 80 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 3900 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1190 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 29 E 32 SE 29 SE 29 SE 24 SE 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 13 E 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 11 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .THURSDAY... CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SHIELDS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100627.DEEPW.14/LIX