FNUS74 KLIX 280002 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 702 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1900 CDT...1014MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER WRN ALTANTIC NEAR FL PENINSULA WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E-W ACROSS NORTHERN GULF COAST. LOW CENTERED IVER UPPER MICHIGAN WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING SW THROUGH MO AND INTO THE PANHANDLE OF TX. TD ALEX WAS CENTERED NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH A CNTRL PRES 999MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1012MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1900 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...100F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...102G GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...100F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 98F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 103F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... MISG GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...101F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 10KT 250FT... SE 11KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT.. SE 12KT 2KFT... SE 12KT 3KFT... SE 13KT 4KFT... SE 15KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...237/49KT 41.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2600FT...THEN NEARLY ISOTHERMAL TO 3300FT...DRY LAPSE RATE TO 4200 FT...THEN APPX MOIST LAPSE ABV. STORM MOTION 157/9KT. 27/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z MON 06/28/10 SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 16KT 500FT...ESE 17KT 1KFT...ESE 17KT 2KFT...ESE 19KT 3KFT...ESE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 14KT MAX WIND...269/67KT 67KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. STM MOTION 140/10KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 272351Z AUTO 15008KT 10SM FEW025 31/26 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP110 T03060256 10333 20306 56014 TSNO METAR KGAO 272340Z AUTO 13008KT CLR 31/25 A2984 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 272351Z 13004KT 10SM SCT035 30/24 A2984 METAR KIPN 272355Z AUTO 05004KT 10SM FEW019 SCT025 BKN070 52/47 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 272355Z AUTO 13011KT 9SM FEW020 FEW031 30/26 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 272355Z AUTO 13024KT 10SM 32/26 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 272355Z AUTO 13009KT 10SM CLR 30/25 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 272355Z AUTO 15008KT 10SM CLR 32/26 A2984 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030-040. 21Z-01Z...ISOLD 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025-030. 21Z-02Z...ISOLD/SCT 3-5SM TSRA BKN025CB. KHUM 272327Z 2800/2824 13008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030CB FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 09008KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB KHSA 272327Z 2800/2824 15006KT P6SM SCT030 BKN200 FM280200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 13009KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT E/SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1855 CDT...ISOLD TO SCT SHRA AND TSRA WERE LOCATED ACROSS NRN GOMEX. THE NEAREST TSRA AND LGTNG WERE LOCATED 35NM S AND 40 NM SSW OF THE SPILL SITE. STORM MOTION WAS N AROUND 11KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.92 FT AT 1806 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.50 FT AT 2100 CDT. WYCM6 1.58 FT AT 1800 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.44 FT AT 0000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 90F AT 1900 CDT. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........74 74 74 74 74 74 63 63 63 63 63 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 84 84 84 84 85 86 86 85 85 85 RH..............77 80 80 80 80 77 75 75 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 94 94 94 96 97 97 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 15 15 15 17 17 17 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 S25 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 87 87 87 69 69 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 86 87 86 85 85 RH..............77 75 72 72 75 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 97 99 96 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 11 SE 14 SE 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 3400 3400 3900 4200 MIX HGT (M).....850 850 1040 1040 1190 1280 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 15 SE 18 SE 18 SE 23 E 29 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10 E 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH RO .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 85 84 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 80 80 80 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 3900 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1190 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 29 E 32 SE 29 SE 29 SE 24 SE 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 13 E 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 11 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .THURSDAY... CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SHIELDS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100627.DEEPW.15/LIX