FNUS72 KMFL 271215 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH DAN HOUSE...FL DEP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 815 AM EDT SUN JUN 27 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...AS THE REGION WILL REMAIN LOCATED BETWEEN AN ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND TROPICAL STORM ALEX NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF WARM AND MOIST CONDITIONS IN THE VICINITY OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE ACROSS WESTERN COLLIER COUNTY TODAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE REGION BETWEEN NOON-2 PM EDT. SOUTHEASTERLY TRANSPORT LAYER FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE NORTHWEST...WITH FAIR DISPERSION INDICES EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...AS MIXING HEIGHTS APPROACH 4-4.5 KFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL FOG DEVELOPMENT IS LOW...AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY WARM THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........86 AT IGNITION...MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........60 60 60 60 60 60 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 91 93 90 86 85 RH..............74 63 58 63 71 71 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 E 4 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 E 4 E 4 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 3200 3200 4500 4500 4500 MIXNG WIND......E 8 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 E 9 E 9 DISPERSION IDX..15 31 31 37 26 26 LVORI...........4 1 1 1 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....76. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............6. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....93. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 18 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 36. LVORI...............5. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DIXON REQUESTED BY...STEVE HOUSEKNECHT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED