FNAK79 PAFG 291205
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUIE CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
405 AM AKDT TUE JUN 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2336 AKDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN JUST NORTH
OF THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL CAUSE LIGHT WINDS TO TURN TO THE
SOUTH DURING THE DAY AS WELL AS INCREASE THE CHANCE OF A DRY
THUNDERSTORM OVER THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A HIGHER
CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WITH THE STORMS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA WILL PUSH A LOT
OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA BY FRIDAY AND PUSH THE THERMAL TROUGH
FURTHER NORTH. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT WETTING RAINS
AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A RETURN OF
THE THERMAL TROUGH AND MORE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING. THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-85 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AROUND NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS
                    MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING 7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (25-35 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. WINDS MAY BE
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING.
                    THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-85 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
                    AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
PARYLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW 52. HIGH 77.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 55. HIGH 68. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW 54. HIGH 74. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...CRYSTAL SOMMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100628.LOUIE.03/AFG