FNUS75 KGJT 281814
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATER CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1214 PM MDT MON JUN 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1121 MDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT
BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN
SITE ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER
TOMORROW DUE TO THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. WINDS ALOFT REMAIN
VERY LIGHT.


*FORECAST PARAMETERS FOR APPROXIMATELY 8800 FEET ELEVATION*

.THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
                    AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. BY LATE
                    AFTERNOON WINDS MAY BE DOMINATED BY OUTFLOW
                    WINDS FROM CONVECTION THAT COULD BE QUITE
                    DISTANT FROM THE FIRE.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.


.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-3 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-28%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH
                    AFTER 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.


$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...PHIL DENDEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100628.WATER.01/GJT