FNUS74 KLIX 281112 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 612 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...1014MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER S GA...XTNDG TO 1012MB HIGH NR 28N/87W. TS ALEX CNTRD W OF THE YUCATAN PEN...CNTL PRES 991MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1011MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/...91F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...MISG GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...MISG SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/...MISG WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 100F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... MISG GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...89F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO TO THREE FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 5 TO 6 FEET TODAY...AND 6 TO 8 FEET FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 10KT 250FT... SE 10KT 500FT... SE 11KT 1KFT.. SE 11KT 2KFT... SE 12KT 3KFT... SE 17KT 4KFT... SE 20KT 5KFT... SE 22KT MAX WIND...233/45KT 40.1KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2200FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 4800FT...DRY LAPSE TO 6600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 7500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. MDT MOIST MOST OF THE SNDG. P.W. 2.25 IN. LI -7.3. SBCAPE 3788 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 163/9KT. 28/00Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/29/10 SFC... E 19KT 250FT... E 22KT 500FT... E 25KT 1KFT... E 28KT 2KFT... E 29KT 3KFT... E 30KT 4KFT... SE 35KT 5KFT... SE 36KT MAX WIND...267/46KT 46.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2600FT...APPX MOIST LAPSE ABV. STM MOTION 167/21KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 281051Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/26 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP115 T02780256 TSNO METAR KGAO 281100Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM TS SCT080 25/25 A2987 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW THRU NE METAR KHSA 280151Z 00000KT 10SM SCT040 27/24 A2985 METAR KIPN 281055Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM SCT020 BKN060 BKN070 54/49 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 281055Z AUTO 20013G24KT 9SM SCT022 SCT031 BKN042 28/24 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 281055Z AUTO 16013KT 10SM FEW019 30/26 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 281055Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM SCT019 SCT095 29/26 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 281055Z AUTO 16007KT 130V190 10SM CLR 31/25 A2986 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT030-040...SCT MVFR 2SM TSRA BKN022CB G28KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...E OF MS RVR...MVFR BKN020...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. W OF MS RVR...VFR SCT025...ISOLD 2SM TSRA BKN018CB G34KT TOP 450. KHUM 280535Z 2806/2906 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM281400 09008KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 10010KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB KHSA 280535Z 2806/2906 VRB02KT P6SM SCT040 FM281400 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN025CB FM281700 13009KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN-OVC025. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...WDSPRD AREA OF MOSTLY LGT RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED MDT SHWRS AND ISOLD TSTMS FM 128NM NE TO BYD 200NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION. AREAL MOVMNT...NE 9KT. CELL MOVMT...NNW 12KT. LGTNG DIMINISHING IN COVRG PST HR. CLOSEST LGTNG...36NM SE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.77 FT AT 0548 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.10 FT AT 0930 CDT. WYCM6 1.54 FT AT 0554 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.97 FT AT 1145 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.0FT AT 0600 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........87 87 87 87 87 87 87 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 85 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 RH..............80 80 80 85 85 77 72 72 72 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 94 96 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 18 18 18 21 21 21 21 21 21 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........O20 O20 O20 O20 O20 B20 B20 B20 B20 B20 B20 B20 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........74 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 77 80 80 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 97 96 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3800 3900 3900 3700 3400 MIX HGT (M).....1070 1160 1190 1190 1130 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 SE 20 SE 28 SE 28 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 SE 9 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 6 6 6 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........96 83 83 83 87 87 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 82 86 86 86 RH..............80 80 86 76 76 76 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 91 98 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3000 2900 2900 2900 2800 MIX HGT (M).....1040 910 880 880 880 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 E 24 E 31 E 31 SE 31 SE 31 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 E 11 E 14 E 14 SE 14 SE 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......M M M M M M .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100628.DEEPW.02/LIX