FNUS74 KLIX 281315 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 815 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0800 CDT...1015MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER S GA...XTNDG TO 1013MB HIGH NR 28N/89W. TS ALEX CNTRD W OF THE YUCATAN PEN IN ERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...MOVG GENLY NW. CNTRL PRES 989MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1012MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 97F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 84F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 92F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 93G WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 100F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 93F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO TO THREE FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 5 TO 6 FEET TODAY...AND 6 TO 8 FEET FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST.. ...LIGHTNING CAUTION ADVISED FROM SW PASS OF MS RIVER TO TERREBONNE BAY UNTIL 0930 CDT... * AT 736 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...FROM 9 NM NORTHEAST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 15 NM EAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OVER TIMBALIER BAY AT 750 AM CDT... OVER GRAND ISLE AT 815 AM CDT... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 12KT 250FT... S 11KT 500FT...SSE 10KT 1KFT.. SSE 9KT 2KFT... SE 9KT 3KFT... SE 12KT 4KFT... SE 14KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...225/50KT 40.7KFT. MOIST LAPSE TO 15.0KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG. P.W. 2.52 IN. LI -5.7. SBCAPE 2509 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 172/8KT. 28/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/29/10 SFC...ESE 20KT 250FT...ESE 22KT 500FT...ESE 23KT 1KFT...ESE 24KT 2KFT...ESE 25KT 3KFT...ESE 29KT 4KFT... SE 32KT 5KFT...ESE 33KT MAX WIND...244/44KT 45.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 16.8KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 22.0KFT ...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 1C DEP AT 950MB/1700FT...V-DRY TO 750MB...CONVRGG CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 550MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.42 IN. LI -6.1. SBCAPE 2711 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 149/21KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 281251Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP124 T02940256 TSNO METAR KGAO 281300Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM VCTS SCT032 28/26 A2989 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE AND SW METAR KHSA 281251Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/26 A2989 METAR KIPN 281255Z AUTO 27009G20KT 1/4SM HZ BKN003 OVC029 51/48 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 281255Z AUTO 14023KT 6SM HZ SCT034 BKN090 OVC120 26/23 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 281255Z AUTO 18009KT 10SM 29/24 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 281255Z AUTO 17020KT 10SM FEW110 29/25 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 281255Z AUTO VRB04G10KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2988 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN015-025...SCT-NMRS 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT008-012 BKN022 WDSPRD RA/-RA...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 281124Z 2812/2912 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 TEMPO 2812/2814 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM281500 09008KT P6SM VCTS BKN025CB TEMPO 2818/2822 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM290100 12010KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250 KHSA 281124Z 2812/2912 VRB02KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB FM281500 12006KT P6SM VCTS BKN025CB FM281700 13010KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB TEMPO 2819/2823 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM290100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN-OVC025. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0800 CDT...WDSPRD AREA OF MOSTLY LGT RAIN MAINLY AT SPILL LOCATION SWD 70NM...MOVG NE 9KT BUT REBLDG INTO CNTRL GLFMEX. CLUSTER OF EMBEDDED TSTMS 37-57NM E-SE...MOVG NNW 8KT. RAIN AREA RATHER EXTENSIVE FM 120NM NE TO 100NM SW OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.11 FT AT 0748 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.18 FT AT 0930 CDT. WYCM6 1.77 FT AT 0755 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.88 FT AT 1300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.5FT AT 0800 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........87 87 87 87 87 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 85 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 RH..............80 85 85 77 72 72 72 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 96 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.14 18 18 18 21 21 21 21 21 21 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........O25 O25 O25 B25 B25 B25 O25 O25 O25 O25 SEAS............4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........74 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 77 80 80 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 97 96 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3800 3900 3900 3700 3400 MIX HGT (M).....1070 1160 1190 1190 1130 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 SE 20 SE 28 SE 28 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 SE 9 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 6 6 6 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........96 83 83 83 87 87 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 82 86 86 86 RH..............80 80 86 76 76 76 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 91 98 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3000 2900 2900 2900 2800 MIX HGT (M).....1040 910 880 880 880 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 E 24 E 31 E 31 SE 31 SE 31 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 E 11 E 14 E 14 SE 14 SE 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......M M M M M M .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100628.DEEPW.04/LIX