FNUS74 KLIX 281612 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1112 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1100 CDT...1014MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER N GLFMEX S OF MOBILE BAY. TS ALEX CNTRD W OF THE YUCATAN PEN IN ERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...MOVG GENLY NNW. CNTRL PRES 989MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1014MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1100 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 92F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 80F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 91F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 99F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 95F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/... 115F GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...102F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO TO THREE FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 5 TO 6 FEET TODAY...AND 6 TO 8 FEET FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 2KT 250FT... S 1KT 500FT... S 1KT 1KFT.. SE 3KT 2KFT... SE 5KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT... SE 11KT 5KFT... SE 13KT MAX WIND...202/38KT 40.8KFT. NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 14.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V DRY SFC TO SATURATED AT 650MB/12.2KFT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.23 IN. LI -2.7. SBCAPE 1050 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 165/6KT. 28/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/29/10 SFC...ESE 20KT 250FT...ESE 22KT 500FT...ESE 23KT 1KFT...ESE 24KT 2KFT...ESE 25KT 3KFT...ESE 29KT 4KFT... SE 32KT 5KFT...ESE 33KT MAX WIND...244/44KT 45.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 16.8KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 22.0KFT ...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 1C DEP AT 950MB/1700FT...V-DRY TO 750MB...CONVRGG CURVES TO 1C DEP AT 550MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.42 IN. LI -6.1. SBCAPE 2711 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 149/21KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 281551Z AUTO 19007KT 10SM FEW018 BKN037 BKN048 28/25 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP136 T02830250 TSNO METAR KGAO 281600Z AUTO 14003KT TS CLR 30/25 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE AND W METAR KHSA 281553Z 15005KT 10SM BKN026 BKN050 31/25 A2989 METAR KIPN 281555Z AUTO 17008KT 10SM CLR 34/31 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 281555Z AUTO 16017G23KT 9SM FEW014 27/24 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 281555Z AUTO 14011KT 10SM 31/24 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 281555Z AUTO 15017G22KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 281555Z AUTO 16013KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN015-025...SCT-NMRS 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT008-012 BKN022 WDSPRD RA/-RA...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 281445Z 2815/2912 09008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB TEMPO 2815/2818 4SM TSRA BKN015CB FM290100 12010KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250 KHSA 281603Z 2816/2912 12006KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB SCT040 TEMPO 2816/2819 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM290100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN-OVC025. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1100 CDT...LRG AREA OF LGT RAFL GENLY S OF SPILL LOCATION DIMINISHING IN COVERG. SCT TSTMS 40-50NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION AND 70-80NM NE...MOVG N 8KT. ISOLD TSTM 95NM SE MOVG N 8KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...32NM NNE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.13 FT AT 1036 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.61 FT AT 2058 CDT. WYCM6 2.21 FT AT 1036 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 2.88 FT AT 1300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.3FT AT 1100 CDT .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........87 87 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 87 87 87 87 87 RH..............77 72 72 72 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 99 99 99 99 99 99 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 14 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 21 21 21 21 21 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 9 9 9 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........B22........................ SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........74 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 77 80 80 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 97 96 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3800 3900 3900 3700 3400 MIX HGT (M).....1070 1160 1190 1190 1130 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 SE 20 SE 28 SE 28 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 SE 9 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 6 6 6 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........96 83 83 83 87 87 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 82 86 86 86 RH..............80 80 86 76 76 76 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 91 98 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3000 2900 2900 2900 2800 MIX HGT (M).....1040 910 880 880 880 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 E 24 E 31 E 31 SE 31 SE 31 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 E 11 E 14 E 14 SE 14 SE 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......M M M M M M .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100628.DEEPW.07/LIX