FNUS74 KLIX 281706 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1206 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 ...LAST SPOT FORECAST FOR TODAY... .SYNOPSIS... AT 1200 CDT...1014MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER N GLFMEX S OF MOBILE BAY. TS ALEX CNTRD W OF THE YUCATAN PEN IN ERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...MOVG GENLY NNW. CNTRL PRES 989MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1014MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1200 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 99F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 96F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/...100F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 89F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 98F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 98F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO TO THREE FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 5 TO 6 FEET TODAY...AND 6 TO 8 FEET FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SW 2KT 250FT... S 1KT 500FT... S 1KT 1KFT.. SE 3KT 2KFT... SE 5KT 3KFT... SE 8KT 4KFT... SE 11KT 5KFT... SE 13KT MAX WIND...202/38KT 40.8KFT. NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 14.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V DRY SFC TO SATURATED AT 650MB/12.2KFT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.23 IN. LI -2.7. SBCAPE 1050 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 165/6KT. 28/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z TUE 06/29/10 SFC...ESE 21KT 250FT... SE 23KT 500FT... SE 24KT 1KFT... SE 24KT 2KFT... SE 25KT 3KFT... SE 27KT 4KFT... SE 30KT 5KFT... SE 30KT MAX WIND...142/30KT 4100FT. DRY LAPSE TO 3200FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 15.6KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 18.0KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 925MB/2500FT...V-DRY TO 3CD DEP AT 850MB...4C OR LESS DEP TO 400MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 2.28 IN. LI -1.7. SBCAPE 478 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 165/16KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 281651Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM SCT035 31/25 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP131 T03060250 TSNO METAR KGAO 281640Z AUTO 12010G16KT SCT033 31/25 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N PWINO METAR KHSA 281651Z 20009KT 7SM -TSRA BKN028 OVC040 24/23 A2991 RMK TSB48 METAR KIPN 281655Z AUTO 11007KT 10SM FEW048 FEW065 34/31 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 281655Z AUTO 14017KT 10SM FEW015 27/23 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 281655Z AUTO 13010KT 10SM 32/25 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 281655Z AUTO 14016KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A2992 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 281655Z AUTO 17012G18KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A2990 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN015-025...SCT-NMRS 2SM TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR SCT008-012 BKN022...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 281656Z 2817/2912 14007KT P6SM SCT025CB BKN050 FM290100 12010KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250 KHSA 281603Z 2816/2912 12006KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB SCT040 TEMPO 2816/2819 2SM TSRA BKN020CB FM290100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN-OVC025. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1200 CDT...SHRINKG AREA OF LGT RAFL GENLY SW OF SPILL LOCATION. LRG AREA OF RAFL FM 10-125NM NE OF SPILL LOCATION WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS 55-75NM N-NE...MOVG N 9KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...26NM NE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.13 FT AT 1136 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.61 FT AT 2058 CDT. WYCM6 2.49 FT AT 1130 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.88 FT AT 1300 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88.3FT AT 1200 CDT .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........87 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 87 87 87 87 RH..............72 72 72 72 72 75 HEAT INDEX (F)..99 99 99 99 99 99 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 21 21 21 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........74 87 87 87 96 96 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............75 75 77 80 80 80 HEAT INDEX (F)..97 97 96 94 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3200 3400 3400 3200 2900 MIX HGT (M).....1070 980 1040 1040 980 880 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 SE 20 SE 28 SE 28 SE 22 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 SE 9 SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 6 6 6 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........96 83 83 83 87 87 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 82 86 86 86 RH..............80 80 86 76 76 76 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 91 98 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 2600 2800 2800 2900 3100 MIX HGT (M).....880 790 850 850 880 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 E 24 E 31 E 31 SE 31 SE 31 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 10 E 11 E 14 E 14 SE 14 SE 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......M M M M M M .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100628.DEEPW.08/LIX