FNUS72 KMLB 282331
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4 2 AND T-16...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
731 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1845 EDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT SOUTH AT THE
SURFACE...POSSIBLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES TOWARD SUNRISE DUE
TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. MIXING HEIGHTS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN AROUND 500 FT SO TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN
AROUND 10 MPH. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH LOW LEVEL WINDS TO PREVENT
FOG FORMATION OVERNIGHT. THE FORECAST LVORI OF 6 DOES NOT FACTOR
IN ANY RAIN WETTING. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
ESTIMATES THAT BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN FELL
AT THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD LIKELY BUMP UP THE
LVORI TO A 7.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT SOUTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6 (7 IF GREATER THAN 0.25" FELL AT BURN SITE).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............86  84  82  81  80  80  80  79  79  79  78  79
RH..............80  82  85  88  91  91  91  91  88  91  94  94
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..10  8   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.    10                  5   5   5           5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100628.UNIT4.02/MLB