FNUS75 KGJT 291710
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOBY...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1110 AM MDT TUE JUN 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1009 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL HIGH SHIFTED ONTO THE EASTERN
PLAINS...A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CARRY DEEPER MONSOONAL
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION AND BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF LATE-DAY
STORMS. SOME STORMS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. LOOK FOR SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WITH ACTIVITY BEGINNING JUST A LITTLE
EARLIER IN THE DAY. ALSO HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT A COUPLE
DEGREES COOLER DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER.


.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THIS MORNING WITH CONVECTIVE CLOUDS
                    BEGINNING TO DEVELOP BY NOON....BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) BY 1400 AND MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%) AFTER 1700. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1400...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH...INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER
                    1500. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS. BY LATE AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS
                    MAY BE DOMINATED BY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM CONVECTION
                    AT SOME DISTANCE FROM THE BURN SITE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD DURING THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 BY 1400...INCREASING TO 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDS...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (30-40%) BY MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%) AFTER 1600. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER NOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SCATTERED AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. BY LATE
                    AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS MAY BE DOMINATED BY
                    OUTFLOW WINDS FROM CONVECTION AT SOME
                    DISTANCE FROM THE BURN SITE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR LATE IN THE MORNING...AND GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 BY NOON...THEN INCREASING TO 4 AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100629.DOBY_.01/GJT