FNUS74 KLIX 291017 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 517 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0500 CDT...1015MB HIGH PRES CNTRD OVER SRN AL. TS ALEX CNTRD NR 21.7N/91.9W AT 0400 CDT...MOVG NNW 7KT. MAX WNDS 60KT. CNTRL PRES 984MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1012MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0500 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 79F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 82F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 87F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 76F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 92F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 82F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 14KT 250FT... SE 16KT 500FT... SE 17KT 1KFT.. SE 18KT 2KFT... SE 21KT 3KFT... SE 24KT 4KFT... SE 22KT 5KFT... SE 20KT MAX WIND...127/24KT 2800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2800FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 2C DEP SFC TO 650MB/12.3KFT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.51 IN. LI -2.2. SBCAPE 713 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 176/8KT. 29/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/30/10 SFC... SE 29KT 250FT... SE 33KT 500FT... SE 35KT 1KFT... SE 38KT 2KFT... SE 47KT 3KFT... SE 51KT 4KFT... SE 48KT 5KFT... SE 46KT MAX WIND...142/51KT 2800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 978MB/1000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG. P.W. 2.79 IN. LI -1.8. SBCAPE 450 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 186/25KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 290951Z AUTO 09008KT 4SM RA BR OVC060 25/23 A2991 RMK AO2 RAB19 SLP127 P0002 T02500228 TSNO METAR KGAO 291000Z AUTO 05005KT 7SM -RA SCT005 SCT012 BKN033 27/25 A2989 RMK AO2 P0001 LTG DSNT E METAR KHSA 290151Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/23 A2989 METAR KIPN 290955Z AUTO 10023KT 10SM FEW048 SCT060 BKN075 42/37 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 290955Z AUTO 13022KT 9SM FEW021 BKN027 BKN036 29/25 A2982 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 290955Z AUTO 14019KT 10SM SCT026 BKN033 31/25 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 290955Z AUTO 13020KT FEW022 BKN110 29/25 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 290955Z AUTO 120KT 10SM FEW029 SCT080 BKN100 29/24 A2987 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025TCU..NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB G30KT TOP 400. AFT 17Z VFR SCT032 BKN080...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN022-028...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 290532Z 2906/3006 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM290900 07008KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB FM291300 09012KT 5SM TSRA BR BKN020CB TEMPO 2913/2917 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300200 11005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 KHSA 290532Z 2906/3006 VRB02KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM291100 10006KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB FM291400 12011KT 4SM TSRA BR BKN020CB TEMPO 2914/2918 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300100 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...LRG AREA OF MOSTLY LGT RAFL OVR SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NW 19KT. NO LGTNG ATTM. AREA OF RAFL LKLY TO PERSIST THRU 1000 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.46 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1000 CDT. WYCM6 1.47 FT AT 0432 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 3.08 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.0FT AT 0500 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 95 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 85 85 85 WEATHER COV.....SCT WID WID WID WID WID WID WID NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 84 83 83 82 83 83 84 84 84 RH..............73 73 73 73 74 74 77 77 77 77 77 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 91 91 91 91 90 90 90 90 92 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 17 17 17 15 15 16 16 16 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22............................................... SEAS............6 6 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........85 90 90 90 85 85 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 84 83 82 RH..............74 74 77 75 78 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 90 92 90 89 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2800 2800 2800 2900 3100 MIX HGT (M).....820 850 850 850 880 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO RO .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........85 97 97 97 90 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 84 84 85 RH..............82 82 74 75 74 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 92 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3100 3100 3100 3000 3300 MIX HGT (M).....940 940 940 940 910 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 SE 23 SE 23 SE 26 S 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............8 8 8 8 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100629.DEEPW.01/LIX