FNUS74 KLIX 291112 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 612 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...1015MB HIGH PRES CNTRD OVER AL. TS ALEX CNTRD NR 21.7N/91.9W AT 0400 CDT...MOVG NNW 7KT. MAX WNDS 60KT. CNTRL PRES 984MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1013MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0600 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 85F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 77F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 79F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 76F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 92F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 80F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 15KT 250FT... SE 15KT 500FT... SE 16KT 1KFT.. SE 17KT 2KFT... SE 19KT 3KFT... SE 21KT 4KFT... SE 20KT 5KFT... SE 20KT MAX WIND...262/27KT 47.1KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 3200FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 2C DEP SFC TO 650MB/12.3KFT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.54 IN. LI -1.7. SBCAPE 565 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 176/8KT. 29/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/30/10 SFC... SE 29KT 250FT... SE 33KT 500FT... SE 35KT 1KFT... SE 38KT 2KFT... SE 47KT 3KFT... SE 51KT 4KFT... SE 48KT 5KFT... SE 46KT MAX WIND...142/51KT 2800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 978MB/1000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG. P.W. 2.79 IN. LI -1.8. SBCAPE 450 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 186/25KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291051Z AUTO 09004KT 10SM OVC090 27/24 A2990 RMK AO2 RAE50 SLP125 P0002 T02670239 TSNO METAR KGAO 291100Z AUTO 05003KT 10SM SCT005 SCT012 SCT017 25/23 A2991 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE METAR KHSA 290151Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/23 A2989 METAR KIPN 291055Z AUTO 11023KT 10SM FEW055 FEW075 SCT090 42/35 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291055Z AUTO 13025KT 8SM SCT025 BKN035 OVC110 29/25 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291055Z AUTO 12009G22KT 070V150 10SM FEW023 SCT027 SCT038 31/25 A2983 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291055Z AUTO 12017KT 10SM SCT025 BKN037 OVC100 29/25 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291055Z AUTO 11019KT 10SM BKN100 BKN120 29/24 A2987 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025TCU..NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB G30KT TOP 400. AFT 17Z VFR SCT032 BKN080...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN022-028...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 290532Z 2906/3006 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM290900 07008KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB FM291300 09012KT 5SM TSRA BR BKN020CB TEMPO 2913/2917 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300200 11005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 KHSA 290532Z 2906/3006 VRB02KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250 FM291100 10006KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB FM291400 12011KT 4SM TSRA BR BKN020CB TEMPO 2914/2918 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300100 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...LRG AREA OF TROPICAL SHWRS OVR SPILL LOCATION FM 63NM NE TO OVR 100NM SW...MOVG NW 19KT. G30-35KT THESE CELLS. COVERG TO BEC MORE SCTD BUT PERSISTENT THRU RMNDR OF THIS AM. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.67 FT AT 0536 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1000 CDT. WYCM6 1.77 FT AT 0540 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 3.08 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.0FT AT 0600 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 95 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 85 85 85 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 83 83 82 83 83 84 84 84 RH..............73 73 73 74 74 77 77 77 77 77 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 91 91 91 90 90 90 90 92 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.24 17 17 17 15 15 16 16 16 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22............................................ SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........85 90 90 90 85 85 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 84 83 82 RH..............74 74 77 75 78 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 90 92 90 89 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2800 2800 2800 2900 3100 MIX HGT (M).....820 850 850 850 880 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO RO .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........85 97 97 97 90 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 84 84 85 RH..............82 82 74 75 74 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 92 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3100 3100 3100 3000 3300 MIX HGT (M).....940 940 940 940 910 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 SE 23 SE 23 SE 26 S 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............8 8 8 8 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100629.DEEPW.02/LIX