FNUS74 KLIX 291213 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 713 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0700 CDT...1016MB HIGH PRES CNTRD OVER AL. TS ALEX CNTRD NR 22.5N/92.7W AT 0700 CDT...MOVG NNW 10KT. MAX WNDS 60KT. CNTRL PRES 983MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1013MB. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0700 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 85F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 77F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 81F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 76F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 98F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 79F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED FROM TROPICAL SHOWERS... * AT 613 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED SEVERAL BANDS OF MOSTLY SHOWERS PRODUCING WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS AND NEAR SHORE AREAS...MOVING NORTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS. * MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES THROUGH MUCH OF THIS MORNING. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 19KT 250FT...ESE 17KT 500FT...ESE 15KT 1KFT.. ESE 14KT 2KFT... SE 16KT 3KFT... SE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...259/29KT 46.5KFT. PSEUDO LAPSE ENTIRE SNDG. 2C DEP SFC TO 350MB/28.2KFT...SLGTLY DRIER ABV. P.W. 2.37 IN. LI -4.2. SBCAPE 1379 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 686/8KT. 29/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/30/10 SFC... SE 29KT 250FT... SE 33KT 500FT... SE 35KT 1KFT... SE 38KT 2KFT... SE 47KT 3KFT... SE 51KT 4KFT... SE 48KT 5KFT... SE 46KT MAX WIND...142/51KT 2800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 978MB/1000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG. P.W. 2.79 IN. LI -1.8. SBCAPE 450 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 186/25KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291151Z AUTO 14011G18KT 10SM FEW021 SCT055 BKN100 27/23 A2992 RMK AO2 RAB1056E06 SLP131 P0000 60004 70006 T02670233 10278 20250 53006 TSNO METAR KGAO 291200Z AUTO 04005KT 10SM CLR 26/25 A2989 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 291155Z 14003KT 7SM VCSH SCT015 BKN041 OVC100 23/23 A2994 METAR KIPN 291155Z AUTO 12025KT 10SM CLR 41/37 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291155Z AUTO 12025KT 8SM BKN022 BKN034 BKN120 29/25 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291155Z AUTO 13020KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A2984 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291155Z AUTO 12025KT 7SM SCT018 SCT023 BKN030 29/25 A2987 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291155Z AUTO 13016G25KT 10SM SCT048 BKN065 OVC075 31/24 A2988 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025TCU..NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB G30KT TOP 400. AFT 17Z VFR SCT032 BKN080...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN022-028...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 291133Z 2912/3012 09012KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB TEMPO 2912/2916 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300200 11005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 KHSA 291130Z 2912/3012 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB FM291400 12011KT 4SM TSRA BR BKN025CB TEMPO 2914/2918 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300100 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...LRG AREA OF TROPICAL SHWRS OVR SPILL LOCATION DECG IN COVERG ATTM BUT BANDS OF TROPICAL SHWRS XPTD TO DEVLP NXT 2-4 HRS. FEW LGTNG...G25-33KT PSBL FM SHWRS THIS AM. CELL MOVMT...NW 19KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.80 FT AT 0636 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1000 CDT. WYCM6 2.04 FT AT 0636 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 3.08 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.0FT AT 0700 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........95 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 85 85 85 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 83 83 82 83 83 84 84 84 RH..............73 73 74 74 77 77 77 77 77 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 91 91 90 90 90 90 92 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 15 15 16 16 16 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22 O22 O22 O24 B25 B25 B25 O22 O22 O22 O22 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........85 90 90 90 85 85 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 84 83 82 RH..............74 74 77 75 78 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 90 92 90 89 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2800 2800 2800 2900 3100 MIX HGT (M).....820 850 850 850 880 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO RO .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........85 97 97 97 90 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 84 84 85 RH..............82 82 74 75 74 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 92 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3100 3100 3100 3000 3300 MIX HGT (M).....940 940 940 940 910 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 SE 23 SE 23 SE 26 S 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............8 8 8 8 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100629.DEEPW.03/LIX