FNUS74 KLIX 291417 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 917 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0900 CDT...1016MB HIGH PRES CNTRD OVER AL. TS ALEX CNTRD NR 22.5N/92.7W AT 0700 CDT...MOVG NNW 10KT. MAX WNDS 60KT. CNTRL PRES 983MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1013MB. OCNL TROPICAL SQUALL BANDS DEVELPG AND MOVG ACRS N GLFMEX...PRODUCING NR GALE FORCE GUSTS. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0900 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 89F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/...MISG GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 92F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 76F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 91F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 82F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... ...TROPICAL SHOWERS TO PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS TODAY... SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING AND BECOMING WIDESPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS BUT EXTENDING WELL INTO THE MIDDLE AND SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE INDIRECTLY RELATED TO THE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX THAT WAS MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING. THESE SHOWERS WERE MOVING NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT WIND GUSTS 25 TO 33 KNOTS OVER OPEN WATERS THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. WATERSPOUTS MAY ALSO DEVELOP UNDER SOME OF THESE SHOWERS. * IN ADDITION...A PRONOUNCED SWELL TRAIN PRODUCED BY TROPICAL STORM ALEX CONTINUES TO ROLL INTO THE SHOALING AREAS ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST. THE ADDITION OF SQUALL GUSTS CAN PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVES THAT CAN CAPSIZE SMALL VESSELS OPERATING IN SHALLOW WATERS. * MARINERS AND OPERATORS INVOLVED WITH OIL SPILL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS SHOULD BE MINDFUL OF SUDDEN SQUALL GUSTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND ROUGH SEA CONDITIONS DURING PASSAGE OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ENSURE ALL ON BOARD ARE ALWAYS WEARING APPROVED PERSONAL FLOTATION DEVICES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 19KT 250FT...ESE 17KT 500FT...ESE 15KT 1KFT.. ESE 14KT 2KFT... SE 16KT 3KFT... SE 16KT 4KFT... SE 16KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...259/29KT 46.5KFT. PSEUDO LAPSE ENTIRE SNDG. 2C DEP SFC TO 350MB/28.2KFT...SLGTLY DRIER ABV. P.W. 2.37 IN. LI -4.2. SBCAPE 1379 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 686/8KT. 29/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/30/10 SFC... SE 29KT 250FT... SE 33KT 500FT... SE 35KT 1KFT... SE 38KT 2KFT... SE 47KT 3KFT... SE 51KT 4KFT... SE 48KT 5KFT... SE 46KT MAX WIND...142/51KT 2800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 978MB/1000FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG. P.W. 2.79 IN. LI -1.8. SBCAPE 450 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 186/25KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291351Z AUTO 11008G18KT 9SM CLR 28/23 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP134 T02830228 TSNO METAR KGAO 291400Z AUTO 09006KT 10SM CLR 28/26 A2992 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE AND SW METAR KHSA 291351Z 13005KT 5SM -RA SCT015 BKN070 OVC080 24/24 A2997 METAR KIPN 291355Z AUTO 12026KT 10SM SCT015 42/38 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291355Z AUTO 13025G33KT 6SM HZ CLR 29/25 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291355Z AUTO 13028KT 10SM 30/24 A2985 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291355Z AUTO 12028G33KT 7SM FEW018 SCT022 SCT027 29/25 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291355Z AUTO 12023KT 8SM CLR 29/23 A2990 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025TCU..NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB G30KT TOP 400. AFT 17Z VFR SCT032 BKN080...SCT TSRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 450. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN022-028...SCT 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G30KT TOP 450. KHUM 291301Z 2913/3012 09012KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB BKN050 TEMPO 2913/2916 VRB15G25KT 3SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC035 FM300200 11005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 KHSA 291314Z 2913/3012 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB TEMPO 2913/2917 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB OVC035 FM300100 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0900 CDT...A CLUSTER OF TROPICAL SHWRS OVR SPILL LOCATION AND XTNDG 36NM E...MOVG N 15KT. G28-33KT THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.21 FT AT 0848 CDT RISING NR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.33 FT AT 0854 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 3.08 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.6FT AT 0900 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........94 94 94 94 85 85 85 85 85 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 83 83 82 83 83 84 84 84 RH..............74 74 77 77 77 77 77 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 90 90 90 90 92 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 15 16 16 16 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........B25 B25 B25 O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 SEAS............5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........85 90 90 90 85 85 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 84 83 82 RH..............74 74 77 75 78 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 90 92 90 89 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2800 2800 2800 2900 3100 MIX HGT (M).....820 850 850 850 880 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............7 7 7 7 8 8 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO RO .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........85 97 97 97 90 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 84 84 85 RH..............82 82 74 75 74 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 92 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3100 3100 3100 3000 3300 MIX HGT (M).....940 940 940 940 910 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 SE 23 SE 23 SE 26 S 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............8 8 8 8 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100629.DEEPW.05/LIX