FNUS74 KLIX 291715 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1215 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 ...LAST SPOT FORECAST FOR THE DAY... .SYNOPSIS... AT 1200 CDT...1017MB HIGH PRES CNTRD OVER S GA. TS ALEX CNTRD NR 22.7N/93.1W AT 1000 CDT...MOVG NW 10KT. MAX WNDS 60KT. CNTRL PRES 982MB. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1014MB. OCNL TROPICAL SQUALL BANDS DEVELPG AND MOVG ACRS N GLFMEX...PRODUCING NR GALE FORCE GUSTS AT TIMES. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1200 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 93F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 89F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 97F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 80F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 94F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 90F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIDES ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL FROM A PROLONGED SOUTHEAST FETCH COMING INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW WATER TO PILE ALONG THE COAST WITH TIDES TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HIGH TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT WEDNESDAY... ...TROPICAL SHOWERS TO PRODUCE NEAR GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS TODAY... SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING AND BECOMING WIDESPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS BUT EXTENDING WELL INTO THE MIDDLE AND SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE INDIRECTLY RELATED TO THE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX THAT WAS MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING. THESE SHOWERS WERE MOVING NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF FREQUENT WIND GUSTS 25 TO 33 KNOTS OVER OPEN WATERS THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. WATERSPOUTS MAY ALSO DEVELOP UNDER SOME OF THESE SHOWERS. * IN ADDITION...A PRONOUNCED SWELL TRAIN PRODUCED BY TROPICAL STORM ALEX CONTINUES TO ROLL INTO THE SHOALING AREAS ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST. THE ADDITION OF SQUALL GUSTS CAN PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVES THAT CAN CAPSIZE SMALL VESSELS OPERATING IN SHALLOW WATERS. * MARINERS AND OPERATORS INVOLVED WITH OIL SPILL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS SHOULD BE MINDFUL OF SUDDEN SQUALL GUSTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND ROUGH SEA CONDITIONS DURING PASSAGE OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ENSURE ALL ON BOARD ARE ALWAYS WEARING APPROVED PERSONAL FLOTATION DEVICES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 17KT 250FT... E 16KT 500FT... E 15KT 1KFT.. E 16KT 2KFT...ESE 17KT 3KFT... SE 19KT 4KFT... SE 22KT 5KFT... SE 24KT MAX WIND...126/26KT 4600FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 15.6KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 950MB/1800FT...V-DRY TO 700MB...CONVG CURVES TO 2C DEP AT 580MB...SLGT V-DRY ABV 450MB. P.W. 1.92 IN. LI -5.9. SBCAPE 2801 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 173/10KT. 29/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z WED 06/30/10 SFC... SE 21KT 250FT... SE 23KT 500FT... SE 25KT 1KFT... SE 25KT 2KFT... SE 26KT 3KFT... SE 28KT 4KFT...SSE 29KT 5KFT...SSE 29KT MAX WIND...158/29KT 3500FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2600FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 16.8KFT...WARM LAYER TO 19.1KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 925MB/2600FT...2-3C DEP ENTIRE SNDG ABV 925MB. P.W. 2.45 IN. LI -2.4. SBCAPE 814 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 181/15KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 291651Z AUTO 11011G17KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP139 T02940239 TSNO METAR KGAO 291700Z AUTO 06013G18KT 30/25 A2993 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED LTG DSNT SW AND W PWINO METAR KHSA 291650Z 05003KT 5SM -RA SCT003 SCT021 OVC027 25/25 A2998 METAR KIPN 291650Z AUTO 10023KT 10SM CLR 43/38 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 291655Z AUTO 13023G29KT 5SM HZ BKN020 BKN025 29/25 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 291655Z AUTO 11010G22KT 060V190 9SM 31/26 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 291655Z AUTO 12022KT 8SM BKN020 29/26 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 291655Z AUTO 10021KT 9SM CLR 29/25 A2991 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025TCU..SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN018CB G33KT TOP 400. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN022-028...SCT-NMRS 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB G33KT TOP 450. KHUM 291457Z 2915/3012 09012KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB BKN050 TEMPO 2915/2918 5SM SHRA BR BKN015CB FM300200 11005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030 KHSA 291314Z 2913/3012 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH SCT025CB TEMPO 2913/2917 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BKN015CB OVC035 FM300100 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN030= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN030. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1200 CDT...SCT-NMRS TROPICAL SHWRS CONT TO XPND IN COVERG OVR AND ARND SPILL LOCATION...AREAL MOVMT N 10KT. CELL MOVMT...NW 18KT. NO LGTNG DETECTED BUT G28-33KT AND PSBL WSPTS THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.20 FT AT 1132 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.76 FT AT 2200 CDT. WYCM6 2.91 FT AT 1137 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.22 FT AT 0100 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.5FT AT 1200 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........99 97 92 87 85 85 WEATHER COV.....WID NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 83 83 84 84 84 RH..............77 77 77 77 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 92 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22.................... SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........85 90 90 90 85 85 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 84 83 82 RH..............74 74 77 75 78 81 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 90 92 90 89 20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2800 2800 2800 2900 3100 MIX HGT (M).....820 850 850 850 880 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 8 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO RO .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........85 97 97 97 90 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 84 84 85 RH..............82 82 74 75 74 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 92 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3100 3100 3100 3000 3300 MIX HGT (M).....940 940 940 940 910 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 SE 23 SE 23 SE 26 S 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 S 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............8 8 8 8 7 7 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100629.DEEPW.08/LIX