FNUS72 KMHX 292239 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLIDAY...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 639 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1827 EDT ON JUNE 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WELL DEFINED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SLOWLY DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MOVING SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS EVENING SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE COULD PRODUCE BRIEF DOWNPOURS NEAR THE FIRE IF THEY CAN SURVIVE BEING ON THE MORE STABLE SIDE OF THE SEA BREEZE. LATE TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH TOWARD CARTERET COUNTY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR WITH THE FRONT. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD PERSIST NEAR THE FIRE SITE INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 72 72 71 71 71 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 81 79 77 76 75 MIN HUMIDITY........75 88 94 100 100 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............72 72 75 79 82 80 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 76 80 83 84 84 MIN HUMIDITY........100 100 85 77 74 72 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 W 9 W 8 N 7 N 5 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100629.HOLID.01/MHX