FNUS75 KGJT 301816
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERCREEK...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1216 PM MDT WED JUN 30 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1144 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION TODAY WITH A LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE WILL BE
ADEQUATE TO PRODUCE MAINLY MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SOME THURSDAY...RESULTING IN A BETTER CHANCE
OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) BY 1400 THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) AFTER 1600.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...BECOMING VARIABLE IN
                    DIRECTION AND SPEED THIS AFTERNOON AS OUTFLOWS
                    DEVELOP FORM NEARBY STORM SYSTEMS. OTHERWISE GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................3 AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9300-9800 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER 2200.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (7700-10000 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH DEVELOPING AFTER 1200 WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO
                    50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-10300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...CHEPETA WFM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100630.WATER.01/GJT