FNUS74 KLIX 301309 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 809 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0800 CDT...LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF HRCN ALEX XTNDG TO LA CST WITH LRG SE SWELL TRAIN THRU YUCATAN CHANNEL DRAWN INTO SPILL OPS AREA. HRCN ALEX CNTRD NR 23.4N/95.1W AT 0542 CDT...MOVG WNW 6KT. MAX WNDS 70KT. CNTRL PRES 959MB PER RECON FIX. WK 1017MB HIGH OVR S GA. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1013MB. TROPICAL SQUALL BANDS DEVLPG AND MOVG ACRS N GLFMEX...PRODUCING NR GALE FORCE GUSTS AT TIMES AND ISOLD WSPTS. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 0800 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 97F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 79F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 88F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 81F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 98F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/... 89F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. MODERATE TO STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY. THE ONSHORE WINDS ALONG WITH WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN TIDE LEVELS RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE RISE IN TIDES WILL RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY DURING HIGH TIDE. FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS AND SHELL ROADS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * HURRICANE ALEX IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION COULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TOTALS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED SIX INCH AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE. * LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER POPULATED AND URBANIZED AREAS COULD QUICKLY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING...SOME SEVERE...MAKING ROADS IMPASSABLE AND CAUSING FLOODING OF PARKED AND STALLED CARS. FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME ROADS IN RURAL AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. RISING WATER COULD ALSO POSE A THREAT TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ...BAND OF TROPICAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING GRAND ISLE AND PORT FOURCHON AREAS... * AT 715 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED A BAND OF TROPICAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 28 TO 33 KNOTS... FROM 9 NM SOUTHEAST OF TIMBALIER BAY TO 56 NM SOUTHEAST OF GRAND ISLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 KNOTS. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE GRAND ISLE AND PORT FOURCHON AREAS THROUGH 1000 AM CDT... * MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AND MAY THREATEN TO MOVE ASHORE AT TIMES. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THESE STORMS PASS. PERSONS INVOLVED WITH NEAR SHORE OIL CLEAN UP OPERATIONS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK COVER FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG WINDS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 20KT 250FT... E 21KT 500FT... E 21KT 1KFT.. E 22KT 2KFT... SE 23KT 3KFT... SE 23KT 4KFT... SE 23KT 5KFT... SE 21KT MAX WIND...109/23KT 1800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4200FT...INVERSION TO 6700FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 23.7KFT...WARM LAPSE TO 25.0KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. V-DRY SFC TO 976MB/1200FT...MOIST LYR AT 900MB/3300FT...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 2.08 IN. LI -6.1. SBCAPE 3598 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 154/12KT. 30/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z THU 07/01/10 SFC... SE 22KT 250FT... SE 23KT 500FT... SE 25KT 1KFT... SE 26KT 2KFT... SE 27KT 3KFT... SE 30KT 4KFT...SSE 29KT 5KFT... S 28KT MAX WIND...147/30KT 3000FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2300FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 17.9KFT...WARM LAYER TO 19.4KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. NRLY SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG ABV 950MB/1800FT. P.W. 2.59 IN. LI -2.6. SBCAPE 1408 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 192/15KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 301251Z AUTO 09009G16KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP139 T02940261 TSNO METAR KGAO 301300Z AUTO 05006KT 10SM CLR 27/26 A2992 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW METAR KHSA 301251Z 06006KT 10SM SKC 25/25 A2997 METAR KIPN 301250Z AUTO 11020KT 10SM SCT050 SCT060 41/39 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 301255Z AUTO 13022G28KT 6SM HZ SCT015 29/26 A2988 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 301255Z AUTO VRB13G24KT 070V130 8SM CLR 30/26 A2986 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 301255Z AUTO 12019G24KT 9SM FEW015 FEW024 SCT044 29/25 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301255Z AUTO 09016KT 8SM FEW018 FEW028 FEW046 29/27 A2992 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...E OF MS RVR...VFR SCT030 OVC120...ISOLD SHRA... AFT 14Z...MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA BKN022CB G30KT TOP 400. W OF MS RVR...IFR OVC008 +RA...SCT-NMRS +SHRA/+TSRA SCT008 BKN015CB G35KT TOP 350. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT017 SCT030 BKN100...SCT 1SM +SHRA BKN015CB G35KT TOP 400 ISOLD FC/WSPTS. KHUM 301128Z 3012/0112 06009KT 5SM -SHRA BR SCT015CB BKN040 TEMPO 3012/3016 VRB15G30KT 2SM TSRA BR BKN015CB OVC025 FM010200 08010KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 KHSA 301128Z 3012/0112 06005KT P6SM SCT025 BKN100 FM301400 14008KT P6SM SCT025CB BKN100 TEMPO 3016/3020 VRB15G30KT 2SM TSRA BR BKN015CB OVC025 FM010200 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SSE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0800 CDT...SCT SHWRS INCRG IN COVERG WITHIN 10NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION OUT BYND 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NW 21KT. FEW LGTNG...G28-33KT AND ISOLD WSPTS THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG...36NM SW. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.07 FT AT 0742 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.20 FT AT 1030 CDT. WYCM6 2.19 FT AT 0742 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.94 FT AT 1251 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.8F AT 0800 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 99 99 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............83 84 85 86 86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............82 77 74 72 70 72 74 74 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 92 94 95 95 95 94 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 30 30 30 30 30 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 21 21 21 20 20 20 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 CEILINGS........O22.................................... SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........99 97 97 97 95 95 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............84 84 84 83 82 82 RH..............74 74 75 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 92 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3500 3000 3000 2800 3000 MIX HGT (M).....1070 1070 910 910 850 910 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 S 21 S 21 S 22 S 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 80 80 80 80 SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO RO RO RO RO CH .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........95 86 86 86 90 90 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 85 85 84 RH..............79 79 74 72 72 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 94 94 92 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 11 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 3300 3400 3400 3500 3500 MIX HGT (M).....910 1010 1040 1040 1070 1070 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 17 S 18 S 18 S 20 SW 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 SEAS............7 6 6 6 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100630.DEEPW.04/LIX