FNUS74 KLIX 301512 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1012 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1000 CDT...LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF HRCN ALEX XTNDG TO LA CST WITH LRG SE SWELL TRAIN THRU YUCATAN CHANNEL DRAWN INTO SPILL OPS AREA. HRCN ALEX CNTRD NR 23.4N/95.3W AT 0700 CDT...MOVG WNW 6KT. MAX WNDS 70KT. CNTRL PRES 959MB. WK 1017MB HIGH OVR S GA. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1014MB. TROPICAL SQUALL BANDS DEVLPG AND MOVG ACRS N GLFMEX...PRODUCING NR GALE FORCE GUSTS AT TIMES AND ISOLD WSPTS. .HEAT INDEX READINGS FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS... AT 1000 CDT... BOOTHVILLE ASOS /KBVE/... 80F HOUMA AWOS /KHUM/... 82F GALLIANO AWOS /KGAO/... 78F SLIDELL ASOS /KASD/... 95F WEST DELTA AWOS-3 /DLP/... 80F RIG INDEPENDENCE AWOS /IPN/...UNREP GULFPORT ASOS /KGPT/...102F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. MODERATE TO STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY. THE ONSHORE WINDS ALONG WITH WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN TIDE LEVELS RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE RISE IN TIDES WILL RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY DURING HIGH TIDE. FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS AND SHELL ROADS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * HURRICANE ALEX IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION COULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TOTALS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED SIX INCH AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE. * LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER POPULATED AND URBANIZED AREAS COULD QUICKLY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING...SOME SEVERE...MAKING ROADS IMPASSABLE AND CAUSING FLOODING OF PARKED AND STALLED CARS. FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME ROADS IN RURAL AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. RISING WATER COULD ALSO POSE A THREAT TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... BRETON SOUND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS... COASTAL WATERS OF LA AND MS OUT 60NM... INCLUDING BARATARIA BAY...BRETON SOUND AND GRAND ISLE... * UNTIL 1045 AM CDT * AT 840 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF TROPICAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM 27 NM NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE TO 66 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MOVING NORTH AT 20 KNOTS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 21KT 250FT... E 23KT 500FT... E 24KT 1KFT.. E 25KT 2KFT...ESE 25KT 3KFT... SE 26KT 4KFT... SE 27KT 5KFT... SE 27KT MAX WIND...118/27KT 3600FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 4000FT...WARM LAPSE TO 7400FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V TO 1C DEP SFC TO 960MB/1600FT...SATURATED TO 880MB/4000FT... SLGT DRY TO 575MB/15.7KFT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.60 IN. LI -7.4. SBCAPE 3328 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 154/12KT. 30/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z THU 07/01/10 SFC... SE 22KT 250FT... SE 23KT 500FT... SE 25KT 1KFT... SE 26KT 2KFT... SE 27KT 3KFT... SE 30KT 4KFT...SSE 29KT 5KFT... S 28KT MAX WIND...147/30KT 3000FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2300FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 17.9KFT...WARM LAYER TO 19.4KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. NRLY SATURATED ENTIRE SNDG ABV 950MB/1800FT. P.W. 2.59 IN. LI -2.6. SBCAPE 1408 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 192/15KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W SPECI KBVE 301503Z AUTO 14017G29KT 1/2SM +RA FG SCT011 BKN030 OVC036 25/24 A3000 RMK AO2 PK WND 14029/1500 P0012 TSNO METAR KGAO 301500Z AUTO 09007KT 5SM -TSRA SCT007 BKN012 OVC017 25/24 A2996 RMK AO2 P0001 LTG DSNT ALQS METAR KHSA 301450Z 10005KT 10SM SCT045 27/26 A2998 METAR KIPN 301455Z AUTO 08024G31KT 3SM BR FEW003 SCT029 BKN038 37/36 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 301455Z AUTO 11019KT 6SM HZ CLR 29/26 A2991 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 301455Z AUTO 12009G21KT 090V160 8SM FEW017 FEW025 29/25 A2989 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 301455Z AUTO 12021G27KT 7SM CLR 29/26 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 301455Z AUTO 11016KT 8SM FEW003 SCT038 BKN049 27/25 A2996 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...E OF MS RVR...MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA BKN022CB G30KT TOP 400. W OF MS RVR...IFR OVC008 +RA...SCT-NMRS +SHRA/+TSRA SCT008 BKN015CB G35KT FC/WSPTS TOP 350. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN022 BKN100...SCT 1SM +SHRA BKN015CB G35KT FC/WSPTS TOP 450. KHUM 301319Z 3013/0112 06009KT 5SM -SHRA BR SCT015CB BKN040 TEMPO 3013/3017 VRB15G30KT 2SM TSRA BR BKN015CB OVC025 FM010200 08010KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 KHSA 301318Z 3013/0112 06005KT P6SM SCT025CB BKN100 TEMPO 3014/3018 VRB15G25KT 2SM TSRA BR BKN015CB OVC025 FM010200 09005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SSE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...LARGE EXTENSIVE AREA OF MDT RAFL OVR SPILL LOCATION WITH EMBEDDED HVYR SHWRS...ISOLD TSTMS WITHIN 25NM OF SITE...MOVG NW 20KT. OCNL LGTNG...G35KT AND ISOLD WSPTS THESE CELLS. CLOSEST LGTNG...29NM NW. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.35 FT AT 0948 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.20 FT AT 1030 CDT. WYCM6 2.47 FT AT 0942 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.94 FT AT 1251 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.6F AT 1000 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 99 99 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............85 86 86 86 85 84 84 84 RH..............74 72 70 72 74 74 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 95 95 95 94 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 20 20 20 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 CEILINGS........O22............................. SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO VRO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........99 97 97 97 95 95 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............84 84 84 83 82 82 RH..............74 74 75 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 92 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3500 3000 3000 2800 3000 MIX HGT (M).....1070 1070 910 910 850 910 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 20 S 21 S 21 S 22 S 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 80 80 80 80 SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VRO RO RO RO RO CH .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........95 86 86 86 90 90 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WIDSPD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 85 85 84 RH..............79 79 74 72 72 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 92 94 94 92 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 11 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 3300 3400 3400 3500 3500 MIX HGT (M).....910 1010 1040 1040 1070 1070 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 17 S 18 S 18 S 20 SW 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 SEAS............7 6 6 6 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100630.DEEPW.06/LIX