FNAK79 PAFG 010842
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUIE CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1242 AM AKDT THU JUL 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0001 AKDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARM DRY AND UNSTABLE AGAIN TODAY. THERE WILL BE A
BETTER CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS TODAY AS A SMALL DISTURBANCE MOVES
NORTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE IN
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. GENERAL FLOW WILL BE LIGHT BUT WILL PICK UP FROM
THE SOUTH AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE AREA A LITTLE AFTER
NOON AND THEN WILL RETURN TO MAINLY DRAINAGE FLOW AT AROUND MIDNIGHT.

GENERALLY THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS UNSTABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WHETHER
OR NOT A THUNDERSTORM ENDS UP OVER THE FIRE WILL LARGELY DEPEND UPON
ADEQUATE SUNSHINE AND SURFACE HEATING DURING THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH AFTER NOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 54. HIGH 78.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 57.
HIGH 79. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 56.
HIGH 79. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100701.LOUIE.01/AFG