FNUS74 KLIX 011416 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 916 AM CDT THU JUL 1 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0900 CDT...TROPICAL SHWRS AND TSTMS CONT TO IMPACT THE OIL SPILL OPERATIONS AREA THIS MORNING WITH LITTLE TO NO IMPROVEMENT ANTICIPATED REMNDR OF THE MORNING. ALEX CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND INTO N-CNTRL MEXICO. WINDS WILL DECREASE STEADILY TODAY BUT SWELLS WILL BE SLOW TO DAMPEN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AS A LONG PERIOD SWELL TRAIN HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRU 7 AM FRI FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS AND THRU 1 PM FRI FOR OUTER CSTL WATERS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ENE 18KT 250FT...ENE 17KT 500FT...ENE 16KT 1KFT.. E 15KT 2KFT... SE 19KT 3KFT... SE 22KT 4KFT... SE 26KT 5KFT... SE 29KT MAX WIND...139/29KT 5000FT. SHALLOW DRY LAPSE TO 500FT...INVERSION TO 1200FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 8700FT...PSEUDO ABV. DRY 3-4C DEP SFC TO 800MB/6500FT...CONVERG TO SATURATION AT 650MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.46 IN. LI -3.3. SBCAPE 1306 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 169/14KT. 01/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 07/02/10 SFC...ENE 12KT 250FT...ENE 13KT 500FT...ENE 13KT 1KFT...ENE 13KT 2KFT... E 9KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT...WSW 2KT 5KFT... NW 7KT MAX WIND...342/53KT 40.3KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1000FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 5300FT...DRY LAPSE TO 7200FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 1C DEP AT 975MB/1200FT...V-DRY TO 825MB/5900FT...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 725MB/9700FT...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.24 IN. LI -3.1. SBCAPE 1060 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 66/04KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 011351Z AUTO 10010KT 10SM BKN012 27/24 A3006 RMK AO2 RAE42 SLP179 P0000 T02670244 TSNO METAR KGAO 011400Z AUTO 05008KT 10SM BKN010 26/25 A3005 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW METAR KHSA 011353Z 09004KT 7SM SCT034 OVC065 24/24 A3008 METAR KIPN 011355Z AUTO 10021G30KT 10SM FEW009 SCT022 BKN048 38/35 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 011355Z AUTO 14020G28KT 3/4SM HZ BKN003 BKN015 OVC022 27/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 011355Z AUTO 15018KT 1/2SM BR BKN016 SCT024 BKN029 27/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 011355Z AUTO 14010KT 4SM BR CLR 28/26 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 011355Z AUTO 09019KT 9SM BKN011 BKN016 27/26 A3003 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...IFR BKN008-010 AREAS VSBY 5SM RA. AFT 14Z MVFR BKN015-025...SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G30KT TOP 400. MARINE AREAS...MVFR 3-5SM RA BKN017-022...EMBEDDED 1SM +SHRA BKN015CB G35KT FC/WSPTS TOP 400. KHUM 011122Z 0112/0212 07008KT 6SM RA BR SCT008 BKN030 TEMPO 0112/0114 2SM SHRA BKN010CB FM011400 11008KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB OVC040 TEMPO 0115/0119 2SM TSRA OVC015CB FM020200 08004KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 KHSA 011122Z 0112/0212 05003KT P6SM VCSH SCT020 OVC080 TEMPO 0112/0114 2SM SHRA BKN020CB FM011400 12006KT P6SM VCTS BKN020CB OVC080 TEMPO 0116/0120 2SM TSRA OVC020CB FM020200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0900 CDT...A LRG AND EXPANDING AREA OF SHWRS/TSTMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAFL XTNDS FM 33NM SW TO 170NM W OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG NW 10KT. OCNL LGTNG...G35KT AND ISOLD WSPTS THESE CELLS. LGT RAFL OVR SPILL LOCATION DIMINISHING IN COVRG BUT CONVECTIVE CELLS ANTICIPATED TO DEVLP AND MOV VCNTY OF SPILL LOCATION BY 1200 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.02 FT AT 0831 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.06 FT AT 1024 CDT. WYCM6 2.52 FT AT 0848 CDT FALLING...HIGH TIDE 2.66 FT AT 1445 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.1F AT 0900 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 85 85 85 84 84 84 83 RH..............78 75 74 73 74 74 74 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 94 94 94 92 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 2.6 2.6 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 22 22 18 18 18 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 10 10 10 8 8 8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 CEILINGS........O20................................ SEAS............8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 81 81 80 80 RH..............77 77 82 83 85 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 87 87 85 85 20 FT WIND......E 7 E 6 SE 6 SE 5 S 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 2900 2600 2600 2100 1500 MIX HGT (M).....980 880 790 790 640 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 16 SE 18 SE 18 SE 20 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).100 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............8 7 7 7 6 6 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 90 90 90 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 83 83 83 83 RH..............85 82 74 72 72 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..85 87 90 89 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 8 E 7 NE 6 NE 7 N 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1200 1600 1600 2200 3200 MIX HGT (M).....460 370 490 490 670 980 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 21 SE 18 SE 18 SE 12 E 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 5 E 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.20 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.10 0.10 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100701.DEEPW.02/LIX