FNUS74 KLIX 012007 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 307 PM CDT THU JUL 1 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1500 CDT...TROPICAL SHWRS AND TSTMS STEADILY DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE OVER THE GLFMEX WATERS OFF THE LA AND MS COAST. WEAK FRONTAL ZONE SETTLED ACROSS THE GULF STATES TO MAINTAIN PERIODS OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED SHWRS/TSTMS IN THE OPERATIONS AREA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A LONG PERIOD SWELL TRAIN FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST WILL BE SLOW TO DAMPEN THROUGH TONIGHT. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION...1019MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRU 7 AM FRI FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS AND THRU 1 PM FRI FOR OUTER CSTL WATERS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 19Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ENE 13KT 250FT...ENE 14KT 500FT... NE 14KT 1KFT.. NE 13KT 2KFT...ENE 18KT 3KFT...ESE 12KT 4KFT... SE 13KT 5KFT... SE 16KT MAX WIND...350/46KT 54.6KFT. SHALLOW DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 19.2KFT..PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 2-3C DEP SFC TO 850MB/4900FT...V-DRY TO 730MB...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 500MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.16 IN. LI -4.6. SBCAPE 2420 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 165/10KT. 01/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z FRI 07/02/10 SFC... SE 7KT 250FT... SE 8KT 500FT... SE 8KT 1KFT... SE 8KT 2KFT... SE 8KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT...CALM 5KFT... W 2KT MAX WIND...346/58KT 46.8KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 2100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 16.6KFT...INVERSION TO 18.1KFT....PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 950MB/1900FT...V-DRY TO 925MB/2700FT...4C DEP TO 575MB...CONVG TO SATURATION AT 525MB...SATURATED ABV. P.W. 2.15 IN. LI -1.9. SBCAPE 536 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 30/01KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 011951Z AUTO 16012G19KT 10SM -RA FEW016 SCT025 BKN033 25/22 A3009 RMK AO2 RAB34 SLP190 P0000 T02500217 TSNO METAR KGAO 012000Z AUTO 06004KT 10SM -DZ SCT005 SCT009 27/25 A3006 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 011955Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3007 METAR KIPN 011955Z AUTO 06009KT 10SM FEW019 FEW027 41/38 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 011955Z AUTO 15013KT 7SM CLR 29/26 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 011955Z AUTO 10016G23KT 3SM HZ CLR 27/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 011955Z AUTO 09013KT 6SM HZ CLR 27/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 011955Z AUTO 05004KT 2 1/2SM HZ CLR 24/21 A3006 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN015 OVC100...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G30KT TOP 400. MARINE AREAS...MVFR BKN025 BKN100...SCT 1SM +SHRA BKN015CB G25KT TOP 300. KHUM 011740Z 0118/0218 10008KT 6SM BR VCTS BKN012CB BKN035 TEMPO 0118/0122 2SM TSRA BKN008CB OVC020 FM020200 08004KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 FM021400 13004KT P6SM VCSH SCT008 BKN035 TEMPO 0214/0218 3SM SHRA OVC015 KHSA 011740Z 0118/0218 11005KT P6SM VCSH SCT015 SCT080 OVC100 TEMPO 0118/0122 2SM TSRA OVC020CB FM020200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 BKN080 FM021400 11006KT P6SM VCSH SCT015 BKN060 TEMPO 0214/0218 4SM -SHRA OVC025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1500 CDT...PATCHY LGT RAIN DISPTG VCNTY SPILL SITE. BANDS OF TROPICAL SHWRS MOVG ACRS MS RVR DELTA...MOVG N 12KT. G25KT AND FEW LGTNG THESE CELLS. NO LGTNG DETECTED WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.86 FT AT 1427 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.11 FT AT 2055 CDT. WYCM6 2.15 FT AT 1430 CDT ERRATIC...UNREPRESENTATIVE FORECAST CURVE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F AT 1500 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 99 WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 RH..............74 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 CEILINGS........S25........ SEAS............7 7 7 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........99 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 83 81 81 81 81 RH..............74 77 82 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 90 87 87 87 87 20 FT WIND......E 10 SE 11 SE 10 SE 8 SE 6 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 20 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 2900 2600 2600 2100 1500 MIX HGT (M).....980 880 790 790 640 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 16 SE 18 SE 18 SE 20 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).100 70 70 70 60 60 SEAS............7 7 7 7 6 6 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 100 100 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 84 86 86 86 RH..............82 82 72 65 65 65 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 91 93 94 94 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1200 1600 1600 2200 3200 MIX HGT (M).....460 370 490 490 670 980 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 21 SE 18 SE 18 SE 12 E 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 5 E 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............6 6 6 6 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100701.DEEPW.04/LIX