FNUS72 KMFL 011249 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR C-35...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 849 AM EDT THU JUL 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEATHER CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO THOSE FROM THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY ONCE AGAIN TODAY...WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY NEAR OR JUST AFTER NOON EDT. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY BE A BIT STRONGER AND MORE CONCENTRATED ALONG THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE...WHICH SHOULD SET UP JUST WEST OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE. EXPECT PREVAILING LOW-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING TO GRADUALLY BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY AFTERNOON...WITH TRANSPORT LAYER WINDS LIKELY TO REMAIN FROM THE EAST AT 6-8 MPH. THE GENERALLY LIGHT TRANSPORT LAYER WINDS WILL RESULT IN ONLY POOR TO FAIR SMOKE PLUME DISPERSION TO THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON. WARM OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........93 AT IGNITION...MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 28. LVORI...............5. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM SKY (%).........51 70 70 70 64 39 WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............93 93 87 86 84 80 RH..............56 57 68 70 74 85 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 2 SE 2 E 2 NE 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2 SE 2 SE 2 E 2 NE 3 NE 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 4500 4500 3500 2500 2500 MIXNG WIND......E 7 SE 8 SE 8 E 7 NE 6 NE 6 DISPERSION IDX..29 32 32 24 4 4 LVORI...........2 1 1 3 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 40 40 LAL.............2 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....75. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............6. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....92. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 23 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............5. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...DIXON REQUESTED BY...JAY MICKEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED