FNAK79 PAFG 021444
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUIE CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
644 AM AKDT FRI JUL 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0031 AKDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH WILL STRENTHEN THROUGH THE DAY JUST NORTH
OF THE AREA...THIS SHOULD CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BY NOON.
THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH ON SATURDAY WHICH
SHOULD PLACE IT VERY CLOSE TO THE FIRE.

THE THERMAL TROUGH HAS BEEN SERVING AS A FOCUS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE
WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THUNDERSTORMS COULD EVEN CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE APPEARS TO BE PLENTY OF AVAILABLE
MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR MOST THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE WETTING
RAINS.

A POSSIBLE PATTERN CHANGE ON MONDAY AS A COLD TROUGH DROPS SOUTH FROM
THE ARCTIC. THIS SHOULD DROP TEMPERATURES INTO THE 60S AND COULD BRING
SOME STRATIFORM ALL DAY RAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND WET THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100 THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1800 THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FEET TOWARD MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND WET THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 56.
HIGH 76. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 54. HIGH 65. WEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 46. HIGH 63. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100702.LOUIE.01/AFG