FNAK79 PAFG 030346
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUIE CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
746 PM AKDT FRI JUL 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1930 AKDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH IS SITTING JUST NORTH OF THE FIRE EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN FIRING UP
JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE.  AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...BUT CHANCES NOW LOOK PRETTY SLIM.
THE THERMAL TROUGH SINKS TO THE SOUTH TOMORROW...WHICH WILL CAUSE
THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAN THIS EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERE
IS ALSO QUITE MOIST...SO THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL LIKELY CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
LOCALLY WETTING RAINS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-60 PERCENT) WITH AN ISOLATED
                    SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH THIS EVENING...SHIFTING INTO THE
                    NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY WINDS IN/NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500-800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-60 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-100 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS WILL
                    CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100702.LOUIE.02/AFG