FNUS75 KGJT 030358
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
958 PM MDT FRI JUL 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1907 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IN A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE EVEN IN THE MORNING HOURS. BUT MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY BEGIN TO ERODE THIS AFTERNOON. SO LATE AFTERNOON STORMS
WILL MAINLY BE WELL EAST OF THE FIRE. IN SPITE OF SOUTHWEST GRADIENT
WINDS...SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC GUSTS.

***NOTE: TEMPERATURES AND RH ARE FOR THE LAT LONG PROVIDED WITH THE
FORECAST REQUEST AT AN ELEVATION 7100 FEET. USE STANDARD LAPSE RATE
OF 3.5 DEGREES PER 1000FT TO ADJUST IN THE FIELD.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH
                    A FAVORED DIRECTION FROM THE EAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 24 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100702.MEADO.01/GJT