FNUS74 KLIX 021010 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 510 AM CDT FRI JUL 2 2010 ...FIRST SPOT FOR THE DAY...HOURLY ISSUANCE... .SYNOPSIS... AT 0500 CDT...WK 1017MB HIGH OVR N-CNTRL GLFMEX CNTRD NR SPILL LOCATION. 1015MB LOW OVR APALACHEE BAY. 8MB SW GRADIENT HIGH TO 1009MB LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRU 7 AM THIS MORNING FOR OUTER CSTL WATERS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 9KT 250FT...ESE 8KT 500FT...ESE 7KT 1KFT.. E 6KT 2KFT... NE 3KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT... NW 2KT 5KFT... W 5KT MAX WIND...028/19KT 19.4KFT. DRU LAPSE TO 2800FT...ISOTHERMAL LAPSE TO 5200FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9600FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 3C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2700FT...V-DRY TO 825MB...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 700MB AND ABV...SLGTLY DRIER ABV 400MB. P.W. 2.19 IN. LI -2.3. SBCAPE 981 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 025/02KT. 02/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 07/03/10 SFC...ESE 17KT 250FT... E 18KT 500FT... E 19KT 1KFT... E 20KT 2KFT... E 24KT 3KFT... E 26KT 4KFT... E 26KT 5KFT... E 25KT MAX WIND...088/27KT 6200FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 21.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 3C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 950MB/2000FT...4C DEP TO 700MB...DRYING TO 500MB...CONVRG TO NR SATURATION AT 400MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.05 IN. LI -2.3. SBCAPE 802 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 114/16KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 020951Z AUTO 18004KT 10SM -RA FEW070 OVC100 27/25 A3004 RMK AO2 RAB08 SLP172 P0000 T02720250 TSNO METAR KGAO 021000Z AUTO 07004KT 10SM CLR 27/26 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 020055Z 00000KT 10SM SCT050 BKN090 26/25 A3006 METAR KIPN 020955Z AUTO 15010KT 10SM FEW070 SCT080 OVC100 42/40 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 020955Z AUTO 14014KT 6SM HZ 29/27 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 020955Z AUTO 14017KT 7SM SCT016 SCT021 BKN026 30/27 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 020955Z AUTO 13012KT 10SM FEW014 SCT020 BKN031 29/27 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 020955Z AUTO 10014KT 10SM FEW075 SCT085 OVC110 28/26 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN015 OVC100. AFT 14Z MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...MVFR -RA BKN025 OVC100. AFT 15Z VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT SHRA BKN020CB G28KT TOP 400. KHUM 020914Z 0209/0306 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT020 BKN120 TEMPO 0209/0212 BKN018 FM021400 08008KT P6SM SCT020 BKN060 OVC200 FM030200 09007KT P6SM SCT080 BKN200 KHSA 020523Z 0206/0306 05005KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN060 BKN120 FM021500 08006KT P6SM SCT020 BKN050 OVC120 FM021800 14008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN060 OVC200 FM030200 06007KT P6SM SCT080 BKN250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...LARGE AREA OF LGT RAFL OVR SPILL SITE AND XTNDG NW THRU LWR PLAQ PRSH...DIMINISHG IN COVERG. AS THIS AREA DISPTS...CONVECTIVE CELLULAR SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS TO XPCTD TO DEVLP BTWN 0700-1000 CDT VCNTY SPILL SITE AND OPS AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.65 FT AT 0447 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.90 FT AT 1000 CDT. WYCM6 1.79 FT AT 0447 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.85 FT AT 1400 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.5F AT 0500 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 92 92 92 92 92 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHC NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 82 83 83 84 84 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............79 79 79 77 76 74 73 70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 90 92 92 94 94 94 94 93 93 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..E NE NE E E E E E E E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 13 13 13 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22 O22 O22 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 SEAS............6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 68 68 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............85 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 70 77 77 79 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 90 90 88 86 86 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 3500 3200 3200 3000 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1130 1070 980 980 910 820 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 14 NE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 84 84 84 85 RH..............77 76 70 67 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 90 90 90 92 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 NE 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2900 3200 3200 3600 3900 MIX HGT (M).....820 880 980 980 1100 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 E 18 E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100702.DEEPW.01/LIX