FNUS74 KLIX 021108 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 608 AM CDT FRI JUL 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...WK 1018MB HIGH OVR N-CNTRL GLFMEX CNTRD NR 29N/87W. 1015MB LOW OVR APALACHEE BAY. WK SFC FNTL BNDRY ALG FL-AL-MS CST XTNDG FM LOW...NRLY STNRY. 9MB SW GRADIENT HIGH TO 1009MB LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1017MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRU 7 AM THIS MORNING FOR OUTER CSTL WATERS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 9KT 250FT...ESE 8KT 500FT...ESE 7KT 1KFT.. E 6KT 2KFT... NE 3KT 3KFT... SE 3KT 4KFT... NW 2KT 5KFT... W 5KT MAX WIND...028/19KT 19.4KFT. DRU LAPSE TO 2800FT...ISOTHERMAL LAPSE TO 5200FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9600FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 3C DEP SFC TO 925MB/2700FT...V-DRY TO 825MB...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 700MB AND ABV...SLGTLY DRIER ABV 400MB. P.W. 2.19 IN. LI -2.3. SBCAPE 981 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 025/02KT. 02/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 07/03/10 SFC...ESE 17KT 250FT... E 18KT 500FT... E 19KT 1KFT... E 20KT 2KFT... E 24KT 3KFT... E 26KT 4KFT... E 26KT 5KFT... E 25KT MAX WIND...088/27KT 6200FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 21.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 3C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 950MB/2000FT...4C DEP TO 700MB...DRYING TO 500MB...CONVRG TO NR SATURATION AT 400MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.05 IN. LI -2.3. SBCAPE 802 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 114/16KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021051Z AUTO 10004KT 10SM SCT090 OVC110 27/26 A3004 RMK AO2 RAE22 SLP172 P0000 T02720256 TSNO METAR KGAO 021100Z AUTO 06005KT 10SM CLR 27/26 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 021055Z AUTO 14008KT 10SM FEW019 FEW085 OVC110 40/37 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021030Z AUTO 15013KT 7SM 29/26 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021055Z AUTO 14017KT 7SM SCT014 BKN018 BKN027 30/27 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021055Z AUTO 12012KT 9SM FEW013 SCT029 BKN090 29/27 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021055Z AUTO 10012KT 10SM BKN095 OVC110 28/26 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT015 OVC070-100...LCL -RA. AFT 14Z MVFR BKN025 ...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...MVFR -RA BKN025 OVC100. AFT 12Z VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT SHRA BKN020CB G28KT ISOLD FC/WSPT TOP 400. KHUM 020914Z 0209/0306 06005KT P6SM VCSH SCT020 BKN120 TEMPO 0209/0212 BKN018 FM021400 08008KT P6SM SCT020 BKN060 OVC200 FM030200 09007KT P6SM SCT080 BKN200 KHSA 020523Z 0206/0306 05005KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN060 BKN120 FM021500 08006KT P6SM SCT020 BKN050 OVC120 FM021800 14008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN060 OVC200 FM030200 06007KT P6SM SCT080 BKN250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...AREA OF STRATIFORM LGT RAFL NRLY DISPTD. SCT SHWRS DEVLPG 17-65NM E-SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG S 7KT. NO LGTNG ATTM. G20-25KT ISLOLD WSPTS PSBL THESE CELLS. AREA OF SHWRS DEVLPG 29-62NM SW-W OF SPILL LOCATION...NRLY STNRY BUT XPNDG E IN COVERG. NO LGTNG ATTM. G25KT...1SM +RA...ISOLD FC/WSPTS THESE CELLS. OVRALL COVERG AND INTENSITY XPTD TO INCR NXT 1-2 HRS VCNTY SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.62 FT AT 0530 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.88 FT AT 1000 CDT. WYCM6 1.83 FT AT 0524 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.02 FT AT 1415 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.6F AT 0600 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 92 92 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 83 83 84 84 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............79 79 77 76 74 73 70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 92 94 94 94 94 93 93 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.2 1.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 13 13 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22 O22 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 68 68 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............85 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 70 77 77 79 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 90 90 88 86 86 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 3500 3200 3200 3000 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1130 1070 980 980 910 820 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 14 NE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 84 84 84 85 RH..............77 76 70 67 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 90 90 90 92 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 NE 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2900 3200 3200 3600 3900 MIX HGT (M).....820 880 980 980 1100 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 E 18 E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100702.DEEPW.02/LIX