FNUS74 KLIX 021511 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1011 AM CDT FRI JUL 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1000 CDT...1019MB HIGH OVR N-CNTRL GLFMEX CNTRD NR 29N/89W. 1016MB LOW NR APALACHEE BAY...DRIFTG W. WK SFC FNTL BNDRY ALG FL-AL-MS CST XTNDG FM LOW...DRIFTG S. 8MB SW GRADIENT HIGH TO 1011MB LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1018MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 11KT 250FT... E 9KT 500FT... E 7KT 1KFT.. NE 7KT 2KFT... NE 9KT 3KFT... N 9KT 4KFT... NW 10KT 5KFT... NW 10KT MAX WIND...000/65KT 46.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 600FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 4200FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9100FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. 4C DEP SFC TO 1000MB/600FT...V-DRY TO 875MB...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 675MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.12 IN. LI -3.9. SBCAPE 1674 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 042/08KT. 02/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 07/03/10 SFC...ESE 17KT 250FT... E 18KT 500FT... E 19KT 1KFT... E 20KT 2KFT... E 24KT 3KFT... E 26KT 4KFT... E 26KT 5KFT... E 25KT MAX WIND...088/27KT 6200FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 21.8KFT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 3C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 950MB/2000FT...4C DEP TO 700MB...DRYING TO 500MB...CONVRG TO NR SATURATION AT 400MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.05 IN. LI -2.3. SBCAPE 802 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 114/16KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021451Z AUTO 04004KT 9SM CLR 29/26 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP185 T02890256 53012 TSNO METAR KGAO 021500Z AUTO 02006KT 10SM CLR 28/26 A3007 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 021350Z 00000KT 10SM OVC100 24/24 A3007 METAR KIPN 021455Z AUTO 28006G12KT 10SM BKN065 43/34 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021455Z AUTO 08014KT 6SM HZ BKN016 BKN021 28/26 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021455Z AUTO 12006G12KT 9SM 30/27 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021455Z AUTO 12014KT 9SM BKN110 29/25 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021455Z AUTO VRB06G11KT 9SM OVC100 30/24 A3006 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...MVFR -RA BKN025 OVC100. AFT 12Z VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT SHRA BKN020CB G28KT ISOLD FC/WSPT TOP 400. KHUM 021243Z 0213/0312 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 SCT080 BKN120 TEMPO 0213/0215 5SM BR BKN015 FM021500 06007KT P6SM VCSH SCT020CB BKN050 FM021800 07007KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 FM030100 05005KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250 KHSA 021126Z 0212/0312 VRB03KT P6SM FEW020 SCT060 BKN120 FM021500 09005KT P6SM SCT020CB BKN050 FM021800 10006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 FM030100 VRB02KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...SCT LGT SHWRS WITHIN A 50NM RADIUS OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LGTNG DETECTED WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. CLOSEST CELL...10NM N ...MOVG S 10KT. G25KT THESE CELLS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.80 FT AT 0936 CDT RISING NR HIGH TIDE 1.88 FT AT 1000 CDT. WYCM6 1.75 FT AT 0936 CDT FALLING...HIGH TIDE 2.02 FT AT 1415 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.8F AT 1000 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........92 92 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............73 72 70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 94 93 93 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22............................ SEAS............6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 68 68 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............85 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 70 77 77 79 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 90 90 88 86 86 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 3500 3200 3200 3000 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1130 1070 980 980 910 820 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 14 NE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 84 84 84 85 RH..............77 76 70 67 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 90 90 90 92 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 NE 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2900 3200 3200 3600 3900 MIX HGT (M).....820 880 980 980 1100 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 E 18 E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100702.DEEPW.06/LIX