FNUS74 KLIX 021620 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1120 AM CDT FRI JUL 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1100 CDT...1019MB HIGH OVR N-CNTRL GLFMEX CNTRD NR 29N/89W. 1016MB LOW NE GLFMEX...DRIFTG W. WK SFC FNTL BNDRY ALG FL-AL-MS CST XTNDG FM LOW...DRIFTG S. 8MB SW GRADIENT HIGH TO 1011MB LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1018MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ESE 12KT 250FT...ESE 7KT 500FT... E 6KT 1KFT.. NE 9KT 2KFT... NE 9KT 3KFT...NNE 10KT 4KFT... N 12KT 5KFT...NNW 13KT MAX WIND...346/51KT 41.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1100FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 2100FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 6900FT...SAT PSEUDO ABV. 4C DEP SFC TO 1000MB/600FT...V-DRY TO 925MB...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 675MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.32 IN. LI -3.1. SBCAPE 1377 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 039/08KT. 02/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 07/03/10 SFC...ENE 19KT 250FT...ENE 21KT 500FT...ENE 22KT 1KFT...ENE 22KT 2KFT...ENE 27KT 3KFT...ENE 29KT 4KFT...ENE 30KT 5KFT...ENE 30KT MAX WIND...059/30KT 4800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1250FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 7600FT...SHALLOW WARM LAYER TO 8500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 500MB/19.2KFT...CONVG CURVES TO NR SATURATION AT 400MB AND ABV. P.W. 1.86 IN. LI -2.8. SBCAPE 925 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 090/17KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021551Z AUTO 07004KT 9SM BKN100 29/25 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP187 T02890250 TSNO METAR KGAO 021600Z AUTO 01009KT BKN008 OVC029 29/26 A3008 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S PWINO METAR KHSA 021551Z 00000KT 10SM OVC090 28/25 A3008 METAR KIPN 021555Z AUTO 30011KT 3SM HZ CLR 39/35 A3011 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021555Z AUTO 10017KT 8SM CLR 28/25 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021555Z AUTO VRB05KT 8SM 31/27 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021555Z AUTO 12009KT 10SM BKN110 29/25 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021555Z AUTO 07004KT 9SM SCT100 29/24 A3007 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...MVFR -RA BKN025 OVC100. AFT 12Z VFR SCT025 BKN100...SCT SHRA BKN020CB G28KT ISOLD FC/WSPT TOP 400. KHUM 021243Z 0213/0312 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 SCT080 BKN120 TEMPO 0213/0215 5SM BR BKN015 FM021500 06007KT P6SM VCSH SCT020CB BKN050 FM021800 07007KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 FM030100 05005KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250 KHSA 021126Z 0212/0312 VRB03KT P6SM FEW020 SCT060 BKN120 FM021500 09005KT P6SM SCT020CB BKN050 FM021800 10006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 FM030100 VRB02KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1100 CDT...AREA OF LGT-MDT RAFL GENLY BYD 40NM ARC S-W OF SPILL LOCATION. NO LTGNG WITHIN 90NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.77 FT AT 1036 CDT FALLING OFF HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 1.76 FT AT 1054 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.0F AT 1100 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........92 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............72 70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 94 93 93 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 13 13 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).5 6 6 6 6 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 O22 SEAS............6 6 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 68 68 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............85 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 70 77 77 79 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 90 90 88 86 86 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 3500 3200 3200 3000 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1130 1070 980 980 910 820 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 14 NE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 84 84 84 85 RH..............77 76 70 67 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 90 90 90 92 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 NE 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2900 3200 3200 3600 3900 MIX HGT (M).....820 880 980 980 1100 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 E 18 E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100702.DEEPW.07/LIX