FNUS74 KLIX 021710 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1210 PM CDT FRI JUL 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1200 CDT...1019MB HIGH OVR N-CNTRL GLFMEX CNTRD NR 29N/89W. 1016MB LOW NE GLFMEX...DRIFTG W. WK SFC FNTL BNDRY ALG FL-AL-MS CST XTNDG FM LOW...DRIFTG S. 8MB SW GRADIENT HIGH TO 1011MB LWR TX COAST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1018MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS... * AT 1115 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS TO 30 KNOTS... FROM 7 NM WEST OF CAILLOU BAY TO 11 NM SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER ISLE DERNIERS AT 1125 AM CDT... * MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 30 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... S 9KT 250FT... S 7KT 500FT... SE 4KT 1KFT.. NE 6KT 2KFT... NE 9KT 3KFT...NNE 8KT 4KFT... N 12KT 5KFT...NNW 16KT MAX WIND...348/55KT 41.0KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1500FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 3400FT...COND STABLE LAPSE TO 11.7KFT...SAT PSEUDO ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 975MB/1300FT...V-DRY TO 900MB/3600FT...CONVRG CURVES TO SATURATION AT 750MB/8400FT AND ABV. P.W. 2.34 IN. LI -3.1. SBCAPE 1567 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 037/09KT. 02/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SAT 07/03/10 SFC...ENE 19KT 250FT...ENE 21KT 500FT...ENE 22KT 1KFT...ENE 22KT 2KFT...ENE 27KT 3KFT...ENE 29KT 4KFT...ENE 30KT 5KFT...ENE 30KT MAX WIND...059/30KT 4800FT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1250FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 7600FT...SHALLOW WARM LAYER TO 8500FT...PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 500MB/19.2KFT...CONVG CURVES TO NR SATURATION AT 400MB AND ABV. P.W. 1.86 IN. LI -2.8. SBCAPE 925 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 090/17KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 021651Z AUTO 07005KT 10SM CLR 29/26 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP186 T02940256 TSNO METAR KGAO 021700Z AUTO 12011KT VCTS SCT011 29/25 A3008 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE THRU SW METAR KHSA 021551Z 00000KT 10SM OVC090 28/25 A3008 METAR KIPN 021655Z AUTO 23012KT 10SM SCT085 42/37 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 021630Z AUTO 11018KT 8SM CLR 29/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 021655Z AUTO VRB06G12KT 8SM 31/27 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 021655Z AUTO 12009KT 10SM FEW050 SCT075 BKN100 29/26 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 021655Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 30/25 A3007 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT025 OVC100...SCT SHRA BKN025TCU G25KT TOP 350. KHUM 021243Z 0213/0312 VRB03KT P6SM SCT020 SCT080 BKN120 TEMPO 0213/0215 5SM BR BKN015 FM021500 06007KT P6SM VCSH SCT020CB BKN050 FM021800 07007KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 FM030100 05005KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250 KHSA 021126Z 0212/0312 VRB03KT P6SM FEW020 SCT060 BKN120 FM021500 09005KT P6SM SCT020CB BKN050 FM021800 10006KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 FM030100 VRB02KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR BKN025. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT-MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1200 CDT...SCT SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS 62NM N-108NM SE OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG WSW 8KT. OCNL LGTNG THESE CELLS. ISOLD LGT SHWRS NR SPILL SITE...MOVG WSW 8KT. CLOSEST CELL...WITHIN 5NM OF LOCATION. CLOSEST LGTNG...78NM E. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.69 FT AT 1126 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.17 FT AT 2000 CDT. WYCM6 1.80 FT AT 1128 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.92 FT AT 1600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.4F AT 1200 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 85 RH..............70 70 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 93 93 94 94 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 CEILINGS........B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 B25 SEAS............6 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 68 68 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............85 84 82 82 81 81 RH..............67 70 77 77 79 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 90 90 88 86 86 20 FT WIND......NE 5 N 6 NE 6 NE 8 NE 10 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 3500 3200 3200 3000 2700 MIX HGT (M).....1130 1070 980 980 910 820 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 12 NE 14 NE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 74 74 74 74 74 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 81 84 84 84 85 RH..............77 76 70 67 67 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 90 90 90 92 20 FT WIND......NE 10 NE 10 E 13 E 14 E 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2900 3200 3200 3600 3900 MIX HGT (M).....820 880 980 980 1100 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 E 18 E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............4 4 4 4 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .INDEPENDENCE DAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 80. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100702.DEEPW.08/LIX