FNAK79 PAFG 040429
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUIE CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
829 PM AKDT SAT JUL 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2012 AKDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST SATELLITE AND LIGHTNING DATA INDICATES THAT THERE ARE QUITE
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING. THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
THEN END AS ISOLATED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS LOOK VERY SIMILAR
ON SUNDAY AS A THERMAL THROUGH REMAINS IN THE AREA AND LEADS TO MORE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER WEATHER ALONG
WITH A FEW SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN
                    THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 3 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100703.LOUIE.04/AFG