FNAK79 PAFG 031659
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
859 AM AKDT SAT JUL 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0850 AKDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL PERSIST CAUSING
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY. A THERMAL LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH NORTH OF THE FIRE WILL DRIFT SOUTH OVER THE FIRE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE BACK NORTH OF THE FIRE SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG THIS THERMAL TROUGH WITH THE MAJORITY OF LIGHTING
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG THIS TROUGH.

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........N 3-5 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........N3-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................36 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................39 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100703.WILLO.01/AFG