FNUS75 KBOU 040906 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 300 AM MDT SUN JUL 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... COOLER MOIST AIR HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE PLAINS BEHIND A COLD FRONT. DRY AIR AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BE REPLACED BY MORE MOIST AIR WHICH IS ALSO A BIT COOLER DURING THE DAY TODAY. EXPECT CLOUDS TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE EASTERLY BUT SHOWERS/STORMS COULD MIX DOWN SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS PASSING NORTH OF COLORADO WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST AND PREVENT WARMING...IN FACT IT IS LOOKING A LITTLE COOLER/MOISTURE FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-63. MIN HUMIDITY........35-45%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 4000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-43. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 4-10 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-63. MIN HUMIDITY........32-40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 6000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/04-02 10 5 48 57 SW 2 5 1 291 NE 3 778 P 07/04-03 19 3 47 58 S 2 5 3 1 SW41 346 E 3 920 P 07/04-04 27 3 45 60 S 3 5 1 331 E 3 1054 P 07/04-05 35 3 44 61 SE 3 1 316 SE 5 1188 P 07/04-06 79 5 44 61 SE 3 3 4 1 SW35 301 SE 5 1322 P 07/04-07 79 5 44 64 SE 5 1 516 SE 5 2363 P 07/04-08 79 5 45 66 SE 5 1 730 S 6 3403 P 07/04-09 64 5 46 63 SE 6 6 4 1 SW35 945 S 6 4443 P 07/04-10 64 5 48 57 SE 6 1 1371 S 6 7556 P 07/04-11 64 5 51 51 SE 6 1 1798 S 7 10668 P 07/04-12 64 14 54 46 SE 6 6 3 1 SW36 2224 S 7 13781 P 07/04-13 64 14 56 43 SE 7 1 2115 SW 9 16523 P 07/04-14 64 14 57 42 S 7 1 2007 SW 12 19264 P 07/04-15 90 24 58 42 S 8 8 3 3 SW37 1898 SW 14 22006 P 07/04-16 90 24 57 43 SE 9 3 2451 W 10 17623 P 07/04-17 90 24 56 46 E 9 3 3004 W 7 13241 P 07/04-18 58 33 55 48 NE 9 14 3 2 SW43 3557 NW 2 8858 P 07/04-19 58 33 53 52 N 8 2 3350 NW 3 9298 P 07/04-20 58 33 51 58 N 7 2 3142 N 3 9737 P 07/04-21 58 33 49 65 NW 6 3 3 2 SW44 2935 N 3 10177 P 07/04-22 48 8 47 70 NW 6 1 2784 NW 6 12480 P 07/04-23 48 8 46 72 W 6 1 2632 W 7 14783 P 07/05-00 48 8 45 73 W 7 6 2 1 SW46 2481 W 8 17085 P 07/05-01 48 8 44 74 W 9 1 1999 W 12 16686 P 07/05-02 23 2 43 74 W 12 1 1517 W 15 16287 P 07/05-03 23 2 42 75 NW 13 7 3 1 W49 1034 W 17 15888 P 07/05-04 23 2 42 74 W 13 1 1009 W 18 15756 P 07/05-05 23 2 41 72 W 12 1 983 W 18 15624 P 07/05-06 44 0 41 73 W 10 16 2 1 W18 1353 W 12 12933 P 07/05-07 44 0 42 68 W 10 1 2574 W 13 29763 P 07/05-08 44 0 44 61 W 9 1 3796 W 14 46592 F 07/05-09 44 0 51 47 W 9 15 2 1 NW21 5017 W 15 63422 G 07/05-10 44 0 54 42 W 9 1 5431 W 14 66493 G 07/05-11 53 0 56 38 W 9 1 5845 NW 14 69564 G 07/05-12 53 10 57 37 W 9 15 2 2 NW22 6259 NW 14 72635 G 07/05-13 53 10 58 37 W 8 2 6572 W 13 74003 G 07/05-14 53 10 59 38 W 8 2 6884 W 13 75372 G 07/05-15 53 10 59 40 W 7 7 2 2 W23 7197 W 13 76740 G 07/05-16 53 10 60 41 W 7 2 6865 W 13 76626 G 07/05-17 53 10 59 43 W 8 2 6534 W 14 76512 G 07/05-18 53 10 58 46 W 8 13 2 2 W26 6203 W 14 76398 G 07/05-19 53 10 56 48 W 8 2 4277 W 13 52140 F 07/05-20 53 10 53 52 W 9 2 2352 W 12 27882 P 07/05-21 53 10 49 56 W 9 15 3 2 W23 427 W 9 3624 P 07/05-22 53 10 47 58 W 9 2 357 W 9 3009 P 07/05-23 53 10 46 58 W 9 2 287 W 9 2394 P 07/06-00 22 0 44 58 W 9 15 3 1 W20 216 W 9 1779 P 07/06-01 22 0 43 58 W 9 1 200 W 9 1595 P 07/06-02 22 0 42 59 W 9 1 183 W 9 1412 P 07/06-03 22 0 41 60 W 9 15 3 1 W18 166 W 8 1229 P 07/06-04 22 0 40 61 W 8 1 172 W 7 1014 P 07/06-05 22 0 40 61 SW 6 1 177 SW 6 800 P 07/06-06 22 0 40 62 SW 5 5 2 1 W18 183 SW 3 586 P 07/06-07 22 0 42 62 SW 5 1 890 SW 5 4060 P 07/06-08 22 0 46 59 S 5 1 1597 SW 5 7535 P 07/06-09 22 0 50 56 S 5 5 2 1 W21 2303 SW 6 11010 P 07/06-10 22 0 53 55 S 6 1 3863 SW 7 29817 P 07/06-11 22 0 56 54 S 7 1 5422 SW 9 48625 F 07/06-12 60 20 57 54 SE 8 13 2 3 W23 6982 SW 12 67432 G 07/06-13 60 20 58 52 SE 9 3 7354 SW 13 78933 G 07/06-14 60 20 59 49 SE 9 3 7726 SW 14 90433 G 07/06-15 60 20 60 46 SE 10 16 3 3 W35 8098 SW 15 101934 V 07/06-16 60 20 60 43 SE 12 3 7667 SW 13 87254 G 07/06-17 60 20 59 42 SE 13 3 7237 SW 12 72575 G 07/06-18 60 20 58 42 SE 14 22 2 3 W40 6807 SW 10 57895 F 07/06-19 60 20 57 44 SE 14 3 5589 S 12 51121 F 07/06-20 60 20 53 50 SE 14 3 4371 S 13 44347 F 07/06-21 45 20 50 59 SE 13 21 2 3 W35 3153 S 14 37573 P 07/06-22 45 20 47 66 SE 13 3 2687 S 14 32225 P 07/06-23 45 20 46 70 SE 12 3 2221 S 14 26877 P 07/07-00 45 0 45 75 SE 12 18 2 1 W25 1756 S 14 21529 P 07/07-01 45 0 43 79 SE 12 1 1486 S 14 17586 P 07/07-02 45 0 42 82 SE 10 1 1215 SE 13 13643 P 07/07-03 45 0 41 85 SE 10 16 2 1 W22 945 SE 12 9699 P 07/07-04 45 0 40 86 SE 10 1 882 SE 12 8893 P 07/07-05 45 0 40 84 S 9 1 819 SE 12 8088 P 07/07-06 45 0 40 83 S 9 15 2 1 NW22 756 SE 12 7282 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...MARK MENDONCA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100703.COWCR.01/BOU