FNUS75 KGJT 040216
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...U.S.F.S.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
816 PM MDT SAT JUL 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1950 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHWEST GRADIENT SET UP TODAY AND WITH MUCH
DRIER CONDITIONS...RED FLAG CONTINUES THROUGH 10 PM. WINDS WILL
DIE DOWN VERY QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET AS RED FLAG CONDITIONS STOP.
WEAK DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO MOVE JUST SOUTH OF BURN SITE SO
POSSIBILITY REMAINS FOR SOME VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BUT EXPECT ANY CHANCE TO END OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO. FOR TOMORROW...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER REGION
PROVIDING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
12 PM. AS TROUGH MOVES OVER BURN SITE...STRONG SURFACE WINDS CAN
BE EXPECTED BUT SHOULD ONLY LAST AN HOUR OR TWO. ONCE TROUGH HAS
MOVED THROUGH...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DROP OFF FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.  WINDS ON RIDGELINE WILL BE WEST
                    12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH RAPIDLY
                    DECREASING AFTER SUNSET.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...CHEPETA WFM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100703.MEADO.01/GJT