FNUS74 KLIX 031111 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 611 AM CDT SAT JUL 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0600 CDT...1013MB LOW CNTRD NR 27N/87W...MOVG WSW 5KT. ASSOCD CDFNT XTNDG W INTO ERN LA. 4MB GRADIENT ACROSS GLFMEX. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY. * EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FEET THIS MORNING WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE...4 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE BY LATE TONIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NE 22KT 250FT... NE 23KT 500FT... NE 23KT 1KFT.. NE 24KT 2KFT... NE 28KT 3KFT...ENE 28KT 4KFT...ENE 23KT 5KFT...ENE 19KT MAX WIND...056/44KT 54.3KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2300FT...NEUTRAL-PSEUDO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 3C DEP AT 975MB/1000FT...MDT DRY ABV...MOIST LYR 400-300MB. V-DRY ABV 300MB. P.W. 2.16 IN. LI -6.2. SBCAPE 2666 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 088/12KT. 03/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/04/10 SFC...ESE 18KT 250FT...ESE 19KT 500FT...ESE 20KT 1KFT...ESE 21KT 2KFT...ESE 22KT 3KFT...ESE 19KT 4KFT...ESE 18KT 5KFT... E 19KT MAX WIND...063/37KT 54.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1300FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 14.4KFT...WARM LYR TO 19.0KFT...SAT PSEUDO ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 4C DEP TO 600MB...CONVRG TO SAT AT 500MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.44 IN. LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1362 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 132/12KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031051Z AUTO 08004KT 10SM FEW020 SCT041 27/24 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP155 T02720244 TSNO METAR KGAO 031100Z AUTO 32005KT 5SM BR BKN014 23/23 A2999 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 031055Z AUTO 07020G26KT 10SM CLR 42/37 A2993 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031055Z AUTO 04009KT 10SM FEW023 SCT060 BKN080 28/23 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031055Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031055Z AUTO 04010KT 10SM FEW027 FEW049 29/25 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031055Z AUTO 06009KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A2998 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR BKN025...SCT SHRA/TSRA BKN011CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 030520Z 0306/0406 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM031500 07009KT P6SM BKN050 FM040000 08009KT P6SM SCT250 KHSA 030520Z 0306/0406 VRB03KT P6SM SCT060 TEMPO 0306/0308 VRB10G15KT RA SCT020CB FM031200 08008KT P6SM BKN050 FM031800 11013KT P6SM SCT250 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT E-ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0600 CDT...AN ARC OF TROPICAL SHWRS FM 80NM N-25NM W-100NM S OF SPILL SITE..MOVG SW 13KT. CLOSEST LGTNG...94NM NW NR HOPEDALE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.82 FT AT 0548 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.90 FT AT 0800 CDT. WYCM6 2.35 FT AT 0542 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.64 FT AT 1124 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F AT 0600 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........71 71 71 71 68 68 73 73 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 83 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 84 RH..............79 77 74 72 67 67 67 67 67 67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 89 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 24 23 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S30 S32 S35 S35 S35 S35 S35 S32 B32 B32 B32 S35 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 59 59 59 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 82 81 80 RH..............70 70 72 74 77 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 87 86 84 20 FT WIND......E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 4000 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1220 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .INDEPENDENCE DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 70 70 70 77 77 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 84 85 85 85 RH..............81 78 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 90 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 13 E 12 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2900 3200 3200 3400 3700 MIX HGT (M).....940 880 980 980 1040 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 22 SE 20 SE 20 E 17 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9 E 8 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100703.DEEPW.02/LIX