FNUS74 KLIX 031211 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 711 AM CDT SAT JUL 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0700 CDT...1013MB LOW CNTRD NR 27.5N/87.8W ALG AN OPEN WAVE ALG 87.8W...MOVG WSW 8KT. VERY LTL CONVCTN NR LOW CNTR...ARC OF SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS 30-70NM SE THRU W OF CNTR. ASSOCD CDFNT XTNDG W INTO CSTL LA. TIGHT 4MB GRADIENT ACROSS N GLFMEX...LOW TO 1017MB ALG FL PNHNDL. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY. * EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FEET THIS MORNING WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE...4 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE BY LATE TONIGHT. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ENE 21KT 250FT...ENE 21KT 500FT...ENE 22KT 1KFT.. ENE 24KT 2KFT...ENE 26KT 3KFT... E 25KT 4KFT...ENE 22KT 5KFT...ENE 19KT MAX WIND...048/43KT 50.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2400FT...WARM LAPSE TO 5900FT...NEUTRAL/PSEDUO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 950MB/1800FT...V-DRY TO 4C DEP 900MB/3300FT AND ABV. P.W. 2.12 IN. LI -5.4. SBCAPE 2473 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 085/13KT. 03/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/04/10 SFC...ESE 18KT 250FT...ESE 19KT 500FT...ESE 20KT 1KFT...ESE 21KT 2KFT...ESE 22KT 3KFT...ESE 19KT 4KFT...ESE 18KT 5KFT... E 19KT MAX WIND...063/37KT 54.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1300FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 14.4KFT...WARM LYR TO 19.0KFT...SAT PSEUDO ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 4C DEP TO 600MB...CONVRG TO SAT AT 500MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.44 IN. LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1362 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 132/12KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031151Z AUTO 10007KT 5SM -RA FEW024 BKN050 OVC090 27/24 A3000 RMK AO2 RAB21 SLP158 P0001 60001 70001 T02720244 10283 20267 53008 TSNO METAR KGAO 031200Z AUTO 03004KT 7SM SCT012 26/26 A3001 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 030050Z 00000KT 10SM SCT060 BKN100 26/25 A2999 METAR KIPN 031155Z AUTO 08019KT 10SM SCT019 SCT025 SCT029 42/38 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031155Z AUTO 34005KT 10SM FEW043 SCT050 SCT065 27/23 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031155Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031155Z AUTO 04008KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031155Z AUTO 08006KT 10SM FEW019 28/25 A2999 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 031120Z 0312/0412 02008KT P6SM FEW040 FM031400 07008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB FM031800 08010KT P6SM SCT040CB FM032200 08008KT P6SM FEW040 KHSA 031120Z 0312/0412 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025CB FM031500 09006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB FM032000 08006KT P6SM FEW040 FM040200 VRB02KT P6SM FEW025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT E-ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...AN ARC OF TROPICAL SHWRS FM ALG A 80NM RADIUS N-W-S OF SPILL SITE..MOVG W 13KT. NO LGTNG DETECTED WITHIN 100NM. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.82 FT AT 0636 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.57 FT AT 0636 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.92 FT AT 1030 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.9F AT 0600 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........71 71 71 68 68 73 73 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 83 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 84 RH..............77 74 72 67 67 67 67 67 67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 23 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S33 S33 S35 S35 S35 S35 B35 B35 B35 S35 S35 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......CH CH RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 59 59 59 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 82 81 80 RH..............70 70 72 74 77 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 87 86 84 20 FT WIND......E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 4000 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1220 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .INDEPENDENCE DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 70 70 70 77 77 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 84 85 85 85 RH..............81 78 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 90 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 13 E 12 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2900 3200 3200 3400 3700 MIX HGT (M).....940 880 980 980 1040 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 22 SE 20 SE 20 E 17 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9 E 8 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100703.DEEPW.03/LIX