FNUS74 KLIX 031415 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 915 AM CDT SAT JUL 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 0900 CDT...1013MB INVERTED TROF ALG 88W...MOVG W 8KT. ARC OF SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS 50-100NM SE THRU W OF CNTR. ASSOCD CDFNT XTNDG W ALG LA CST. TIGHT 5MB GRADIENT ACROSS N GLFMEX...LOW TO 1018MB ALG CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDICES... AT 0900 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 92F HOUMA /KHUM/...104F GULFPORT /KGPT/... 89F SLIDELL /KASD/... 86F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/... 94F WEST DELTA /DLP /... 91F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY. * EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FEET THIS MORNING WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE...4 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE BY LATE TONIGHT. ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. * EAST WINDS NEAR 20 MPH ALONG AND JUST OFF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TIDES HIGHER THAN NORMAL TODAY AND TONIGHT. TIDES NEAR 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF TIDAL MARSHES AND LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST AND BAYOUS IN HANCOCK COUNTY...PARTICULARLY AT THE PERIOD OF HIGH TIDE TODAY AND AGAIN THIS EVENING. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NE 18KT 250FT... NE 18KT 500FT... NE 19KT 1KFT.. ENE 20KT 2KFT...ENE 23KT 3KFT... E 24KT 4KFT... E 24KT 5KFT... E 22KT MAX WIND...035/40KT 40.7KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2000FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3700FT...NEUTRAL/PSEDUO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 1C DEP AT 950MB/1800FT...V TO 4C DEP 850MB/5100FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.93 IN. LI -4.1. SBCAPE 1948 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 088/14KT. 03/06Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/04/10 SFC...ESE 18KT 250FT...ESE 19KT 500FT...ESE 20KT 1KFT...ESE 21KT 2KFT...ESE 22KT 3KFT...ESE 19KT 4KFT...ESE 18KT 5KFT... E 19KT MAX WIND...063/37KT 54.2KFT. DRY LAPSE SFC TO 1300FT...NEUTRAL LAPSE TO 14.4KFT...WARM LYR TO 19.0KFT...SAT PSEUDO ABV. INV-V SFC TO 2C DEP AT 975MB/1100FT...V-DRY TO 4C DEP TO 600MB...CONVRG TO SAT AT 500MB AND ABV. P.W. 2.44 IN. LI -2.9. SBCAPE 1362 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 132/12KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031351Z AUTO 09010KT 10SM FEW022 SCT050 29/24 A3002 RMK AO2 RAB13E46 SLP165 P0001 T02940244 TSNO METAR KGAO 031400Z AUTO 03006KT CLR 29/25 A3003 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 031255Z 07004KT 10SM CLR 25/24 A3004 METAR KIPN 031355Z AUTO 06018KT 10SM CLR 44/38 A2997 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031355Z AUTO 08007KT 10SM FEW020 SCT037 BKN055 29/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031250Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031355Z AUTO 08010KT 10SM FEW019 FEW026 29/25 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031355Z AUTO 09013KT 7SM FEW019 SCT050 SCT060 28/25 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 031120Z 0312/0412 02008KT P6SM FEW040 FM031400 07008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB FM031800 08010KT P6SM SCT040CB FM032200 08008KT P6SM FEW040 KHSA 031120Z 0312/0412 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025CB FM031500 09006KT P6SM VCSH SCT040CB FM032000 08006KT P6SM FEW040 FM040200 VRB02KT P6SM FEW025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT E-ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0900 CDT...ONLY ISOLD SMALL SHWRS 40NM W AND BYND...MOVG W 13KT. SCT TSTMS 113NM S OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.81 FT AT 0830 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. WYCM6 2.77 FT AT 0847 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE 2.92 FT AT 0930 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.6F AT 0900 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........27 46 64 73 73 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 84 RH..............72 67 67 67 67 67 67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.24 23 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S35................................ SEAS............4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 59 59 59 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 82 81 80 RH..............70 70 72 74 77 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 87 86 84 20 FT WIND......E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 4000 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1220 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .INDEPENDENCE DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 70 70 70 77 77 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 84 85 85 85 RH..............81 78 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 90 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 13 E 12 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2900 3200 3200 3400 3700 MIX HGT (M).....940 880 980 980 1040 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 22 SE 20 SE 20 E 17 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9 E 8 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100703.DEEPW.05/LIX