FNUS74 KLIX 031607 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1107 AM CDT SAT JUL 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1100 CDT...1014MB INVERTED TROF ALG 88W...MOVG W 8KT. ARC OF SHWRS/ISOLD TSTMS 50-100NM SE THRU W OF CNTR. ASSOCD CDFNT XTNDG W ALG LA CST. TIGHT 4MB GRADIENT ACROSS N GLFMEX...LOW TO 1018MB ALG CST. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1016MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDICES... AT 1100 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 91F HOUMA /KHUM/...101F GULFPORT /KGPT/... 95F SLIDELL /KASD/... 93F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/... 97F WEST DELTA /DLP /... 92F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM CDT SUNDAY. * EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FEET THIS MORNING WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE...4 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE BY LATE TONIGHT. ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY... * THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. * EAST WINDS NEAR 20 MPH ALONG AND JUST OFF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TIDES HIGHER THAN NORMAL TODAY AND TONIGHT. TIDES NEAR 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF TIDAL MARSHES AND LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST AND BAYOUS IN HANCOCK COUNTY...PARTICULARLY AT THE PERIOD OF HIGH TIDE TODAY AND AGAIN THIS EVENING. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC40 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... NE 17KT 250FT... NE 18KT 500FT... NE 19KT 1KFT.. ENE 20KT 2KFT... E 22KT 3KFT... E 23KT 4KFT... E 23KT 5KFT... E 23KT MAX WIND...018/35KT 35.9KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3700FT...NEUTRAL/PSEDUO LAPSE ABV. INV-V SFC TO 1C DEP AT 950MB/1900FT...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 1.93 IN. LI -4.8. SBCAPE 2364 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 092/14KT. 03/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/04/10 SFC...ENE 8KT 250FT...ENE 8KT 500FT...ENE 9KT 1KFT...ENE 8KT 2KFT... NE 2KT 3KFT... N 3KT 4KFT...NNW 4KT 5KFT...NNW 4KT MAX WIND...060/37KT 54.8KFT. NEUTRAL/PSEUDO LAPSE ENTIRE SNDG. INV-V SFC TO 1C DEP AT 1000MB/350FT...V TO 3C DEP AT 970MB/1300FT...TO SAT LYR 575-450MB...V-DRY ABV. P.W. 2.28 IN. LI -3.5. SBCAPE 1217 J/KG. 30R75 STM MOTION 069/04KT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031551Z AUTO 07007KT 10SM FEW036 SCT070 29/26 A3002 RMK AO2 RAB23E46 SLP166 P0002 T02940261 TSNO METAR KGAO 031540Z AUTO 05005KT SCT005 28/25 A3002 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE PWINO METAR KHSA 031455Z 09006KT 10SM BKN019 BKN027 28/24 A3005 METAR KIPN 031555Z AUTO 05012G20KT 10SM SCT022 SCT035 44/38 A2996 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 031500Z AUTO 07006KT 10SM FEW022 FEW027 FEW032 29/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031250Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 031555Z AUTO 09010KT 10SM FEW022 29/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 031555Z AUTO 08011KT 10SM FEW040 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 OCNL BKN030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G35KT TOP 400. KHUM 031518Z 0315/0412 07008KT P6SM VCTS SCT020CB BKN035 TEMPO 0315/0318 VRB15G25KT 4SM -TSRA BR BKN018CB BKN025 FM031800 08010KT P6SM SCT040CB FM032200 08008KT P6SM FEW040 KHSA 031515Z 0315/0412 09006KT P6SM VCSH SCT020 SCT030CB TEMPO 0315/0317 BKN019 BKN027 FM032000 08006KT P6SM FEW040 FM040200 VRB02KT P6SM FEW025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT E-ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 1100 CDT...AREA OF SHWRS 24-60NM N OF SPILL LOCATION...MOVG W 23KT. NO LGTNG THESE CELLS. NO LGTNG WITHIN 100NM OF SPILL LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.78 FT AT 1050 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.18 FT AT 1900 CDT. WYCM6 2.94 FT AT 1041 CDT STEADY NR HIGH TIDE. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.1F AT 1100 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 73 73 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 85 85 85 85 85 84 RH..............67 67 67 67 67 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 92 92 92 92 90 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 22 22 22 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 CEILINGS........S30 B30 B30 B30 B30 B30 B30 SEAS............4 6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........73 59 59 59 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 82 81 80 RH..............70 70 72 74 77 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 89 87 86 84 20 FT WIND......E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 4000 3700 3700 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1220 1130 1130 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..E 22 E 22 E 23 E 23 E 23 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .INDEPENDENCE DAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 70 70 70 77 77 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 81 84 85 85 85 RH..............81 78 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 86 90 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 14 E 13 E 12 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2900 3200 3200 3400 3700 MIX HGT (M).....940 880 980 980 1040 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 22 SE 20 SE 20 E 17 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9 E 8 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RICKS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BANNAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100703.DEEPW.07/LIX