FNAK79 PAFG 040448
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 514 KANUTI RIVER...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
848 PM AKDT SAT JUL 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EVIDENT ON SATELLITE AND LIGHTNING DATA
IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING.  THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO WIND DOWN BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.  A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN
THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE TOMORROW...WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE FORMATION
OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING AND AGAIN TOMORROW ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WETTING
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWING TO 600-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 3 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN RAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100704.514KA.01/AFG