FNAK79 PAFG 042126
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE 572 FIASCO LAKE...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
126 PM AKDT SUN JUL 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1225 AKDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY CAUSING SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS
THROUGH THEN. A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRE WILL
MOVE OVER THE FIRE BY 4PM TODAY AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY NORTH OF
THE FIRE TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS AND LIGHTING WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG
THIS THERMAL TROUGH. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE BY
THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH MOVE NORTH. EXPECT WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH...
HAIL AND AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.


.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY 2PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER 2PM.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TODAY...
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...SWISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100704.FIRE5.02/AFG