FNAK79 PAFG 051520
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
720 AM AKDT MON JUL 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2322 AKDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA IS WEAKENING THIS MORNING.
ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE FIRE...A LARGE WEATHER FRONT COMING OUT
OF THE GULF OF ALASKA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE FIRE
LATE TONIGHT. THE AIR MASS OVER THE FIRE AND THE NORTHERN INTERIOR
IS STILL UNSTABLE TODAY...SO THERE WILL BE SOME SHOWERS. THE
INBOUND GULF OF ALASKA WEATHER FRONT WILL STABILIZE THE AIR MASS
OVER THE FIRE. THE SOUTH WINDS WITH THIS WEATHER FRONT WILL WILL
DRY THE INCOMING AIR AS IT MOVES OVER THE ALASKA RANGE. THE
RESULT WILL BE LESS CHANCES OF RAIN ON THE FIRE TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................28 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................28 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING WEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 TO 70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WEST WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...MASON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100704.FIRE5.04/AFG