FNAK79 PAFG 050417
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOUIE CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
817 PM AKDT SUN JUL 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2008 AKDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LIES FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE
FIRE THIS EVENING.  THE THROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT TO THE
NORTH TONIGHT. THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  AS OF 8 PM...MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE BEING DETECTED TO THE SOUTH OF THE FIRE...BUT A STORM COULD
DEVELOP NEAR OR OVER THE FIRE UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE WET AND WILL CONTAIN
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 TO 800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). A FEW SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    IN/NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100704.LOUIE.02/AFG