FNAK79 PAFG 040439
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
839 PM AKDT SAT JUL 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE FIRE AND
WILL PRODUCE A WETTING RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. ONCE
THESE STORMS END THERE WILL STILL BE THE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING. MORE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AS A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS ENDING
                    WITHIN THE HOUR...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........HIGHLY VARIABLE THIS EVENING AROUND 5 MPH...BUT
                    WITH WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 3 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100704.WILLO.01/AFG