FNUS75 KBOU 051120 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 530 AM MDT MON JUL 5 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING EAST OF COLORADO TODAY. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. A DIURNAL WIND REGIME IS EXPECTED AT LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH LIGHT WEST WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE RIDGES. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATUERS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. THAT AIRMASS WILL LINGER FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF DAYS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-68. MIN HUMIDITY........25-33%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 6000 FT AGL BY 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-40. MAX HUMIDITY........65-75%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 2100 AND 1000 FT AGL BY 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AFTER 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1600...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-68. MIN HUMIDITY........34-42%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 10000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/05-05 38 0 42 73 W 8 1 727 W 9 6122 P 07/05-06 2 0 41 74 W 8 13 2 1 NW14 734 W 12 7214 P 07/05-07 2 0 43 69 W 9 1 1351 W 13 17111 P 07/05-08 2 0 46 64 W 9 1 1969 NW 15 27009 P 07/05-09 17 0 50 56 W 10 16 3 1 N30 2587 NW 16 36907 P 07/05-10 17 0 53 46 W 10 1 3622 NW 15 43935 F 07/05-11 17 0 57 38 W 10 1 4657 NW 14 50964 F 07/05-12 15 0 60 32 W 10 16 3 1 NW28 5693 NW 12 57993 F 07/05-13 15 0 62 29 W 9 1 6107 NW 12 61509 G 07/05-14 15 0 64 28 W 7 1 6522 W 12 65025 G 07/05-15 21 7 64 28 W 6 6 2 1 NW31 6936 W 12 68541 G 07/05-16 21 7 65 29 W 6 1 7280 W 12 76298 G 07/05-17 21 7 65 31 W 7 1 7623 W 13 84055 G 07/05-18 12 7 65 32 W 8 13 3 1 W30 7966 W 14 91813 G 07/05-19 12 7 63 34 W 8 1 5514 W 12 62702 G 07/05-20 12 7 59 37 W 9 1 3062 W 10 33591 P 07/05-21 12 0 54 42 W 9 15 3 1 W26 610 W 8 4480 P 07/05-22 12 0 51 46 W 9 1 474 W 9 3516 P 07/05-23 12 0 47 51 W 9 1 338 W 9 2553 P 07/06-00 8 0 45 54 W 9 15 3 1 W24 201 W 9 1589 P 07/06-01 8 0 43 56 W 9 1 204 W 9 1606 P 07/06-02 8 0 41 57 W 9 1 206 W 9 1624 P 07/06-03 8 0 40 58 W 9 15 3 1 W25 209 W 9 1641 P 07/06-04 8 0 39 61 W 9 1 206 W 9 1601 P 07/06-05 8 0 38 65 W 9 1 203 W 9 1562 P 07/06-06 4 0 38 67 W 9 15 4 1 W23 199 W 9 1522 P 07/06-07 4 0 41 66 W 8 1 544 W 8 3626 P 07/06-08 4 0 46 59 SW 7 1 889 W 8 5729 P 07/06-09 4 0 51 53 SW 6 6 4 1 SW22 1234 SW 7 7833 P 07/06-10 4 0 55 51 SW 6 1 4097 SW 9 39310 P 07/06-11 31 0 58 50 S 6 1 6681 SW 10 68915 G 07/06-12 31 20 60 49 S 6 6 3 3 SW25 9264 SW 13 98520 G 07/06-13 31 20 61 47 S 6 3 9977 SW 13 113267 V 07/06-14 31 20 62 45 S 7 3 10691 SW 14 128014 V 07/06-15 31 20 62 42 S 7 7 3 3 W26 11404 SW 15 142761 V 07/06-16 75 20 63 39 SE 8 3 10567 SW 13 114552 V 07/06-17 75 20 62 38 SE 8 3 9730 SW 10 86344 G 07/06-18 75 20 61 38 SE 9 9 3 3 W26 8892 SW 8 58135 F 07/06-19 75 20 59 40 E 9 3 6643 S 9 45831 F 07/06-20 75 20 56 46 E 10 3 4395 SE 10 33527 P 07/06-21 75 20 52 55 E 10 10 3 3 W30 2146 E 12 21223 P 07/06-22 75 20 49 61 E 12 3 2054 E 13 22330 P 07/06-23 75 20 48 66 E 13 3 1962 E 14 23437 P 07/07-00 75 20 46 71 E 14 21 3 3 W33 1870 SE 15 24545 P 07/07-01 75 20 45 75 SE 14 3 1524 SE 15 19525 P 07/07-02 75 20 44 78 SE 13 3 1178 SE 14 14506 P 07/07-03 75 0 42 81 S 12 17 3 1 W28 832 S 13 9487 P 07/07-04 75 0 41 82 S 10 1 730 S 12 7671 P 07/07-05 75 0 41 81 S 9 1 628 S 10 5856 P 07/07-06 75 0 41 80 S 8 8 3 1 W30 526 SW 9 4040 P 07/07-07 75 0 43 77 SW 8 1 782 SW 8 5543 P 07/07-08 75 0 46 75 SW 7 1 1038 SW 8 7045 P 07/07-09 73 0 49 70 SW 7 7 3 1 W30 1293 SW 8 8548 P 07/07-10 73 0 52 65 SW 6 1 2177 SW 7 13906 P 07/07-11 73 0 54 62 S 6 1 3061 W 7 19264 P 07/07-12 73 0 55 60 S 5 5 3 1 W26 3945 W 7 24622 P 07/07-13 73 0 56 60 SW 5 1 4709 W 8 32637 P 07/07-14 73 0 57 59 W 3 1 5472 W 8 40651 F 07/07-15 73 30 57 59 W 3 3 3 4 W23 6236 W 9 48665 F 07/07-16 73 30 57 59 SW 3 4 5459 W 7 35009 P 07/07-17 73 30 57 59 SE 3 4 4682 W 5 21352 P 07/07-18 73 30 56 61 E 3 3 3 4 W31 3905 W 2 7695 P 07/07-19 73 30 54 64 SE 3 4 3056 W 2 6679 P 07/07-20 73 30 51 70 S 3 4 2208 SW 3 5663 P 07/07-21 73 30 48 79 S 3 3 3 4 W26 1360 S 3 4647 P 07/07-22 73 30 46 84 SW 5 4 1054 SW 5 3927 P 07/07-23 73 30 45 87 SW 5 4 748 SW 6 3207 P 07/08-00 53 30 43 90 W 6 6 3 4 W20 441 W 7 2487 P 07/08-01 53 30 42 92 W 6 4 410 W 6 2217 P 07/08-02 53 0 41 94 W 6 1 378 W 6 1946 P 07/08-03 53 0 40 96 W 6 6 3 1 W13 346 W 6 1675 P 07/08-04 53 0 39 97 W 6 1 359 W 6 1716 P 07/08-05 53 0 39 96 SW 6 1 371 W 6 1757 P 07/08-06 53 0 39 95 SW 7 7 4 1 SW13 384 W 6 1798 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...MARK MENDONCA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100704.COWCR.01/BOU