FNUS75 KGJT 050130
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
730 PM MDT SUN JUL 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1842 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT HAS PASSED OVER THE BURN SITE EARLY
THIS EVENING. THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO RELAX...AND WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY BY SUNSET. THE SHOWERS
ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST OF THE BURN SITE WITH
A ONLY FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT. A DRIER WEST FLOW
IS EXPECTED FOR MONDAY...WITH RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE
WAKE OF THIS EVENINGS FRONT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL 2000...
                    THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH...DECREASING AND BECOMING NORTH 8-12
                    MPH BY 2030. THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 3-6 MPH
                    AFTER 2200. GUSTY AND VARIABLE WINDS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR SHOWERS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2030...DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2200 (10000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL AT 1930...DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL
                    BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 6 MPH AFTER 2200.

.MONDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1300...THEN WEST
                    4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...CHEPETA WILDFIRE MODULE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100704.MEADO.01/GJT