FNUS75 KGJT 041758
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERCREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1158 AM MDT SUN JUL 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1114 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR
STRONG WINDS LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS ACROSS THE NORTH
TODAY. AT 1130 MDT THUNDERSTORMS WERE BUILDING TO THE WEST OF THE
FIRE SITE AND WILL WORK OVER THE SITE THIS AFTERNOON. AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BLAST OVER THE SITE LATE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING THE WINDS TO NORTHWEST. THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS ARE
MOST LIKELY VICINITY OF THE FRONT...1500-1800 HOURS.
TEMPERATURES/HUMIDITY WILL DROP/RISE DRAMATICALLY BEHIND THE
FRONT. STORMS WILL END AROUND BY SUNSET AND NORTH WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. A DRIER WEST FLOW IS IN STORE FOR MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND SHOWERS POSSIBLE AFTER 1300...BECOMING
                    SCATTERED BY 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    30-40 MPH AFTER 1500. ERRATIC GUSTS
                    WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2. LAL OF 4 AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN NORTHWEST
                    15 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10-15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 4-8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1000...THEN WEST 3-6
                    MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN WEST 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...MARTELL GIBBONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100704.WATER.01/GJT