FNUS74 KLIX 041205 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 705 AM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0700 CDT...1012MB LOW LOCATED ABOUT 150 NM SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 1021MB HIGH ALG CAROLINA ATLC CST. 9MB GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW AND HIGH. SFC PRES AT SPILL LOCATION 1014MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDICES... AT 0700 CDT... GALLIANO /KGAO/... 86F HOUMA /KHUM/... 75F GULFPORT /KGPT/... 77F SLIDELL /KASD/... 76F BOOTHVILLE /KBVE/... N/A WEST DELTA /DLP /... 90F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT SUNDAY FOR GULF COASTAL WATERS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER EXCLUDING THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND LAKE BORGNE... * EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH SEAS OF UP TO 6 FEET...MAINLY IN THE OUTER GULF WATERS. ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR HANCOCK COUNTY IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 18KT 250FT...E 15KT 500FT...E 16KT 1KFT.. E 18KT 2KFT...E 19KT 3KFT...E 20KT 4KFT...E 20KT 5KFT...E 20KT MAX WIND...040/37KT 47KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 6000FT...MOIST LAPSE ABV. 04/12Z NAM12 MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z SUN 07/04/10 SFC...SSE 13KT 250FT...SSE 12KT 500FT...SSE 10KT 1KFT...S 10KT 2KFT...S 10KT 3KFT...S 11KT 4KFT...S 12T 5KFT...S 12KT MAX WIND...030/33KT 55KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1500FT...MOIST LAPSE ABOVE. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 031751Z AUTO 09013G21KT 10SM FEW019 SCT027 29/24 A3001 RMK AO2 RAB32E44 SLP163 P0000 60003 T02890244 10300 20267 58004 TSNO METAR KGAO 041140Z AUTO 08004KT 10SM CLR 27/24 A2996 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 040156Z 11003KT 10SM CLR 27/23 A2999 RMK LAST METAR KIPN 041155Z AUTO 12013KT 10SM CLR 59/54 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 041155Z AUTO 13018G23KT 10SM SCT019 SCT029 BKN055 28/24 A2990 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 031250Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM 29/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 041155Z AUTO 11017KT 10SM SCT025 SCT033 BKN046 29/24 A2995 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 041155Z AUTO 12015KT 7SM SCT020 BKN024 28/24 A2994 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB G25KT TOP 370. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT030 OCNL BKN030...SCT SHRA BKN025CB G30KT TOP 400. KHUM 041120Z 0412/0512 06008KT P6SM VCSH SCT020 FM041300 07008KT P6SM FEW012 SCT025 FM041800 08007KT P6SM SCT035 SCT250 KHSA 041120Z 0412/0512 00000KT P6SM FEW025 FM041300 11010KT P6SM SCT035 SCT250 FM050200 11005KT P6SM FEW025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT E-ESE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...MVFR BKN030. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...ISO SHOWERS MOVING WNW AT 20 KTS NEAR THE SPILL LOCATION...MOVG W 23KT. LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS ARE 80-100NM SSW OF THE SOURCE WITH THE CLOSEST LIGHTNING APPROX 100NM SOUTH. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.25 FT AT 0700 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.60 FT AT 1500 CDT WYCM6 2.85 FT AT 0700 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 2.13 FT AT 2100 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 84.7F AT 0700 CDT. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 82 84 85 85 86 86 86 86 85 85 RH..............80 77 73 68 65 65 63 63 66 66 67 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 87 90 92 92 92 93 93 93 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 14 14 14 13 11 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 30 30 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 12 12 12 7 7 7 5 5 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 CEILINGS........SCT025.................................... SEAS............6 6 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO CH CH RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........57 72 72 72 72 72 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 83 81 80 80 80 RH..............67 72 77 80 80 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 90 86 84 84 84 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 S 10 S 11 S 11 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3200 2400 2400 2300 2200 MIX HGT (M).....1070 980 730 730 700 670 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 S 5 S 7 S 7 SW 14 SW 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 2 S 2 S 3 S 3 SW 6 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO CH RO RO RO RO .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........72 67 67 67 78 78 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 84 85 86 86 RH..............79 74 72 71 69 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..84 88 91 94 95 94 20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 10 S 12 S 11 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2200 2700 2700 3200 3400 MIX HGT (M).....670 670 820 820 980 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 20 SW 17 SW 17 SW 21 S 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO CH .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...EFFERSON REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100704.DEEPW.02/LIX