FNUS73 KUNR 041938
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEAD FIREWORKS...LEAD VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
138 PM MDT SUN JUL 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2130 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN BLACK HILLS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND THIS
EVENING. SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
INTO THE EVENING ALONG WITH TRANSPORT WINDS.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 6 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MIN 52.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................11 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 TO 7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...TIM EGGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100704.LEADF.01/UNR